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Stadium Background

Dorking Wanderers vs Chatham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Pinchard H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Dorking Wanderers
20%
Draws
28%
Chatham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dorking Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Chatham haven't matched Dorking Wanderers's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Dorking Wanderers a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Dorking Wanderers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dorking Wanderers, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dorking Wanderers Clean Sheet 11%
Chatham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dorking Wanderers Chatham
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 10 3
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.94 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 FA Cup
Dorking Wanderers vs Chatham
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dorking Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinchard H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Chatham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dorking Wanderers 65 / 100
Chatham 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dorking Wanderers Chatham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dorking Wanderers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dorking Wanderers scored in 81% of their last 36 outings.

Recent resilience: Dorking Wanderers stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Chatham conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Chatham's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dorking Wanderers VS Chatham
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dorking Wanderers

(Home)
03 Oct
Dorking Wanderers
1 : 0
Chatham
26 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
4 : 3
Braintree
22 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
5 : 4
Southall FC
20 Sept
Southall FC
2 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
12 Sept
Torquay
2 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
Page 1 of 8

Chatham

(Away)
06 Oct
Chatham
3 : 0
Leatherhead
03 Oct
Dorking Wanderers
1 : 0
Chatham
26 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
3 : 1
Chatham
19 Sept
Slough Town
0 : 1
Chatham
15 Sept
Eastbourne Borough
2 : 1
Chatham
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Harborough -
TBD -
Stourbridge 1
Rushall 3
FC Witham Town 3
Stotfold 2
St. Albans 2
Hashtag 0
AFC Emley 3
Bishop Auckland 1
TBD -
Spennymoor -
Lower Breck 5
Thornaby 1
TBD -
Chester -
North Ferriby FC 0
Barton Town 2
Bourne 2
Boldmere St Michaels 3
Warrington Rylands 3
Hyde 1
TBD -
Chorley -
Wellingborough 3
Kettering 4
Quorn 2
Shepshed 1
Knowle 1
Worcester 2
Alfreton 0
Stratford 2
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stafford 3
Northampton on Chenecks 0
TBD -
Hereford -
Halesowen 3
Basford Utd. 1
Stamford 0
Mickleover 1
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Buxton -
TBD -
Whitby 2
Ashton United 5
South Shields -
TBD -
Avro 0
Witton Albion 2
Biggleswade Town 1
Hitchin 4
Grays 0
Leiston 5
Hednesford -
TBD -
Coventry United 2
Bedworth United 1
Hebburn Town -
TBD -
Stockton 3
Guiseley 4
Curzon Ashton 1
Bradford PA 2
Lancaster 3
Tadcaster Albion 1
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunstable 1
Woodford Town 3
Mulbarton Wanderers 3
Cornard United 0
AFC Totton -
TBD -
Gloucester City 5
Mangotsfield 1
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marine -
TBD -
TBD -
Radcliffe -
Shildon 2
Warrington Town 6
South Liverpool 4
Prestwich Heys 3
Boston United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Redcar Athletic 1
Stocksbridge 0
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Vauxhall 0
Dunston 2
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Leamington 3
Ilkeston 1
Sherwood Colliery 2
Gainsborough 4
Northampton Sileby 0
Anstey Nomads 4
Cleethorpes 1
Newcastle Town 2
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
Worksop -
Garforth 1
United of Manchester 5
Ossett United 1
Pontefract Collieries 0
Bury FC 8
Wythenshawe FC 0
Workington 3
Marske United 0
Bromsgrove 2
Nuneaton 0
Sporting Khalsa 0
Leek Town 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harrogate -
Leighton Town 1
Gorleston 4
London Lions 2
Bury Town 4
Spalding United -
TBD -
Hanley Town 2
Abbey Hulton 1
Cambridge City 6
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Yaxley 1
Buckhurst Hill 4
Alvechurch 2
Wolverhampton City 0
Lye Town 1
Racing Club Warwick 5
Desborough Town 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Peterborough Sports 4
Ipswich Wanderers 0
Stanway Rovers 1
Needham Market 3
TBD -
Braintree -
Morecambe -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
Redcar Town 1
Blyth Spartans 0
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Carlisle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heaton Stannington 1
Knaresborough Town 0
Bamber Bridge 1
Trafford 3
Northwich Victoria 2
Atherton Collieries 3
Prescot Cables 2
Horbury Town 0
Salisbury -
TBD -
Taunton Town 4
Millbrook 0
Dulwich Hamlet 4
East Grinstead Town 0
Faversham 2
Welling 3
Thame United 3
Reading City 2
Banbury 1
Exmouth Town 2
Whitehawk 2
Eastbourne Borough 4
Holmesdale 1
Windsor & Eton 5
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Merthyr Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Fleetlands 0
Cirencester 3
TBD -
Farnham -
Chesham -
TBD -
Ware 6
Fakenham 4
Harleston Town 3
Romford 1
Real Bedford 4
Royston Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Three Bridges 0
Kingstonian 1
Leatherhead 3
Croydon Athletic 0
Ascot United 1
Pagham 3
Hanworth Villa 4
Whitstable Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley 2
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Lewes 2
Cray Wanderers 3
TBD -
Maidstone -
Yate 3
Devizes Town 0
Chippenham Town 4
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Uxbridge 3
Haywards Heath 0
TBD -
Farnborough -
Baffins Milton Rovers 1
Slimbridge 4
Wells City 0
Hungerford 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bishops Cleeve 2
Poole Town 1
Tadley Calleva 3
Laverstock & Ford 1
Westfield 1
Dartford 3
Hayes & Yeading 2
Camberley Town 1
Tonbridge -
TBD -
Ramsgate 1
Bracknell Town 0
Torquay -
TBD -
Basingstoke 0
AFC Stoneham 1
Brixham 2
Dorchester 3
TBD -
Oxford City -
Billericay -
TBD -
Frenford 0
Enfield Town 4
Hampton & Richmond -
TBD -
Crowborough 4
Whyteleafe 3
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
Wimborne 3
Portishead Town 1
Brackley -
TBD -
Portchester 2
Portland United 1
Canvey Island 2
Newmarket 1
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aveley 4
Cheshunt 2
Concord Rangers 2
Brentwood 4
Brantham 0
Waltham Abbey 7
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Malvern Town 1
Redditch 5
Belper Town 0
Evesham 3
Stortford 2
Berkhamsted Town 3
Hendon 7
Hullbridge 3
Maidenhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
St. Blazey 1
Tiverton 2
Sholing 2
Andover New Street 0
Winslow United 1
Swindon Supermarine 3
Bath City 0
Weymouth 2
Broadfields United 1
Chichester City 4
SE Dons 2
Erith Town 0
Falmouth Town 2
Frome Town 4
Gosport Borough 1
Plymouth Parkway 3
Walton & Hersham -
TBD -
TBD -
Horsham FC -
Margate 1
Snodland 3
Redhill 1
Sheppey United 2
Chertsey Town 3
Carshalton 2
Sittingbourne 3
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 4
Flackwell Heath 0
Hanwell Town 1
Burgess Hill 3
Jersey Bulls 1
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
Folkestone -
Southall FC 2
Cobham 1
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers -
Slough Town -
TBD -
Egham Town 0
Chatham 4
Quarter-finals
Harborough 1
Rushall 0
FC Witham Town 0
St. Albans 3
AFC Emley 0
Spennymoor 4
Lower Breck 1
Chester 2
Barton Town 3
Boldmere St Michaels 1
Warrington Rylands 0
Chorley 1
Kettering 2
Quorn 0
Worcester 2
Stratford 1
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stafford 3
Hereford 2
Halesowen 2
Mickleover 0
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Buxton 1
Ashton United 0
South Shields 7
Witton Albion 0
Hitchin 1
Leiston 2
Hednesford 0
Coventry United 1
Hebburn Town 1
Guiseley 4
Bradford PA 1
Lancaster 0
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woodford Town 1
Mulbarton Wanderers 2
AFC Totton 0
Gloucester City 2
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marine 3
Radcliffe 2
Warrington Town 3
South Liverpool 0
Boston United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Redcar Athletic 1
Macclesfield 2
Dunston 0
Scarborough Athletic 2
Leamington 1
Gainsborough 4
Anstey Nomads 2
Newcastle Town 1
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford 4
Worksop 7
United of Manchester 4
Ossett United 1
Bury FC 5
Workington 1
Bromsgrove 2
Leek Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harrogate -
Gorleston 3
Bury Town 4
Spalding United 2
Hanley Town 0
Cambridge City 3
Buckhurst Hill 1
Alvechurch 3
Racing Club Warwick 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Peterborough Sports 1
Needham Market 3
Braintree 6
Morecambe 2
Southport 0
Redcar Town 2
Darlington FC 4
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Carlisle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heaton Stannington 1
Trafford 2
Atherton Collieries 2
Prescot Cables 0
Salisbury 4
Taunton Town 1
Dulwich Hamlet 4
Welling 1
Thame United 6
Exmouth Town 4
Eastbourne Borough 3
Windsor & Eton 0
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Merthyr Town 1
Truro 3
Cirencester 4
Farnham 3
Chesham 7
Ware 2
Harleston Town 1
Real Bedford 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Kingstonian 0
Leatherhead 1
Pagham 0
Hanworth Villa 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Bedford 2
King’s Lynn 1
Hemel Hempstead 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
Cray Wanderers 3
Maidstone 1
Yate 1
Chippenham Town 2
Uxbridge 4
Farnborough 2
Slimbridge 1
Hungerford 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bishops Cleeve 0
Tadley Calleva 1
Dartford 4
Hayes & Yeading 2
Tonbridge 2
Ramsgate 1
Torquay 6
AFC Stoneham 1
Dorchester 0
Oxford City 2
Billericay 1
Enfield Town 3
Hampton & Richmond 4
Crowborough 6
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wimborne 3
Brackley 1
Portchester 0
Canvey Island 0
Chelmsford 1
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aveley 2
Brentwood 3
Waltham Abbey 1
Dagenham & Red. 4
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redditch 3
Evesham 0
Berkhamsted Town 4
Hendon 1
Maidenhead 1
Ebbsfleet 3
Tiverton 0
Sholing 1
Swindon Supermarine 1
Weymouth 3
Chichester City 2
SE Dons 3
Frome Town 0
Plymouth Parkway 2
Walton & Hersham 0
Horsham FC 3
Snodland 0
Sheppey United 1
Chertsey Town 3
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 2
Hanwell Town 2
Burgess Hill 1
Dover Ath. 4
Folkestone 2
Southall FC 6
Dorking Wanderers 7
Slough Town 0
Chatham 1
Semi-finals
Harborough 3
St. Albans 2
Spennymoor 4
Chester 1
Barton Town 1
Chorley 4
Kettering 1
Worcester 3
Gateshead -
TBD -
Stafford 3
Halesowen 2
Halifax -
TBD -
Buxton 0
South Shields 2
Leiston 3
Coventry United 1
Guiseley 1
Bradford PA 0
Barrow -
TBD -
Mulbarton Wanderers 1
Gloucester City 2
Hartlepool -
TBD -
Marine 2
Warrington Town 0
Boston United -
TBD -
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Macclesfield 4
Scarborough Athletic 3
Gainsborough 2
Anstey Nomads 3
Altrincham -
TBD -
Worksop 0
United of Manchester 3
Bury FC 2
Bromsgrove 1
TBD -
Harrogate -
Bury Town 1
Spalding United 5
Cambridge City 1
Alvechurch 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Braintree 1
Morecambe 3
Darlington FC 0
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Carlisle -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
Trafford 2
Atherton Collieries 5
Salisbury 5
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Thame United 0
Eastbourne Borough 1
Sutton -
TBD -
Truro 4
Cirencester 0
Chesham 4
Real Bedford 3
TBD -
Forest Green -
Leatherhead 1
Hanworth Villa 0
TBD -
Yeovil -
Bedford 5
Wingate & Finchley 3
Cray Wanderers 3
Chippenham Town 0
Uxbridge 3
Hungerford 1
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Aldershot -
TBD -
Tadley Calleva 2
Dartford 1
Tonbridge 0
Torquay 1
Oxford City 6
Enfield Town 1
Crowborough 1
Wimborne 2
Brackley 0
Chelmsford 2
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
Brentwood 3
Dagenham & Red. 1
Southend -
TBD -
Redditch 0
Berkhamsted Town 2
Ebbsfleet 1
Sholing 2
Weymouth 1
SE Dons 5
Plymouth Parkway 2
Horsham FC 1
Sheppey United 0
Chertsey Town 2
Hanwell Town 1
Dover Ath. 2
Dorking Wanderers 1
Chatham 0
Final
Harborough -
Spennymoor -
Chorley -
Worcester -
Gateshead -
Stafford -
Halifax -
South Shields -
Leiston -
Guiseley -
Barrow -
Gloucester City -
Hartlepool -
Marine -
Boston United -
Scunthorpe -
Macclesfield -
Anstey Nomads -
Altrincham -
United of Manchester -
Bury FC -
Harrogate -
Spalding United -
Alvechurch -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
Morecambe -
Kidderminster -
Solihull Moors -
Carlisle -
Tamworth -
AFC Fylde -
Atherton Collieries -
Salisbury -
Eastbourne Borough -
Sutton -
Truro -
Chesham -
Forest Green -
Leatherhead -
Yeovil -
Bedford -
Cray Wanderers -
Uxbridge -
Hornchurch -
Aldershot -
Tadley Calleva -
Torquay -
Oxford City -
Wimborne -
Chelmsford -
Wealdstone -
Worthing FC -
Boreham Wood -
Woking -
Eastleigh -
Brentwood -
Southend -
Berkhamsted Town -
Sholing -
SE Dons -
Plymouth Parkway -
Chertsey Town -
Dover Ath. -
Dorking Wanderers -