Sport Picks

England

National League South Meadowbank

Chesham

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dorking Wanderers play Chesham in the National League South. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dorking Wanderers averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Chesham averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Dorking Wanderers won 2, Chesham won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 28, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Dorking Wanderers and 2.19 for Chesham. This points to a Dorking Wanderers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Dorking Wanderers

17%

Draws

38%

Chesham

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Dorking Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Dorking Wanderers picked up more points recently compared to Chesham.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 2.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%

Dorking Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Chesham Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dorking Wanderers	Chesham
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	17	15
Draws	6	3
Losses	10	12
Goals Scored	1.82	1.67
Goals Conceded	1.45	1.37
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 National League South

Dorking Wanderers vs Chesham

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Nov 29, 2025 National League South

Chesham vs Dorking Wanderers

Possession: 52% - 43% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Apr 26, 2025 National League South

Dorking Wanderers vs Chesham

Possession: 47% - 48% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Dec 21, 2024 National League South

Chesham vs Dorking Wanderers

Possession: 60% - 52% Cards: 3 - 4

0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dorking Wanderers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Chesham Compare

Top Goalscorer Bennetts J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.16

Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dorking Wanderers 43 / 100

Chesham 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dorking Wanderers Chesham

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dorking Wanderers or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dorking Wanderers attacking → ← attacking Chesham

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dorking Wanderers scored in 91% of their last 33 games.

Chesham let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Dorking Wanderers went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chesham lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 48

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.38

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Worthing FC	46	25	9	12	99:52	84
2	Hornchurch	46	23	12	11	81:64	81
3	Torquay	46	24	8	14	87:62	80
4	Dorking Wanderers	46	23	10	13	78:61	79
5	Hemel Hempstead	46	23	10	13	55:48	79
6	Weston-super-Mare	46	23	9	14	61:48	78
7	Maidenhead	46	22	11	13	66:41	77
8	Maidstone	46	22	11	13	72:50	77
9	Ebbsfleet	46	22	11	13	73:54	77
10	Chelmsford	46	21	10	15	73:62	73
11	Chesham	46	21	9	16	68:55	72
12	AFC Totton	46	20	6	20	60:79	66
13	Dagenham & Red.	46	17	13	16	61:62	64
14	Tonbridge	46	16	12	18	66:65	60
15	Horsham FC	46	15	14	17	53:54	59
16	Slough Town	46	15	9	22	69:87	54
17	Salisbury	46	14	11	21	50:65	53
18	Hampton & Richmond	46	14	11	21	56:72	53
19	Farnborough	46	14	11	21	72:92	53
20	Dover Ath.	46	13	11	22	60:75	50
21	Bath City	46	10	13	23	50:77	43
22	Chippenham Town	46	11	9	26	53:80	42
23	Enfield Town	46	9	13	24	55:82	40
24	Eastbourne Borough	46	9	9	28	59:90	36