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Dorking Wanderers vs Maidstone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Nikaj G.
37' Event
Leahy T.
53' Event
Charles K.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Dorking Wanderers and Maidstone finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maidstone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Dorking Wanderers
30%
Draws
19%
Maidstone
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dorking Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Maidstone carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Dorking Wanderers's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Dorking Wanderers Clean Sheet 11%
Maidstone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dorking Wanderers Maidstone
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 20
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.66 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Maidstone
2:3
Feb 21, 2026 National League South
Maidstone vs Dorking Wanderers
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Maidstone
3:1
Mar 11, 2025 National League South
Maidstone vs Dorking Wanderers
1:1
Nov 5, 2024 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Maidstone
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dorking Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikaj G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barrett J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Maidstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Leahy T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Charles K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dorking Wanderers 74 / 100
Maidstone 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dorking Wanderers Maidstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dorking Wanderers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Dorking Wanderers remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Dorking Wanderers found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Maidstone's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Dorking Wanderers VS Maidstone
3 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dorking Wanderers

(Home)
10 Oct
Dover Ath.
1 : 1
Dorking Wanderers
03 Oct
Dorking Wanderers
1 : 0
Chatham
26 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
4 : 3
Braintree
22 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
5 : 4
Southall FC
20 Sept
Southall FC
2 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

Maidstone

(Away)
10 Oct
Horsham FC
1 : 2
Maidstone
26 Sept
Maidstone
1 : 2
Truro
22 Sept
Maidstone
0 : 2
Cray Wanderers
19 Sept
Cray Wanderers
1 : 1
Maidstone
12 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Maidstone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 11 7 1 3 20:12 22
2 Salisbury 11 6 3 2 20:8 21
3 Billericay 11 6 3 2 25:14 21
4 Truro 11 6 3 2 17:8 21
5 Dagenham & Red. 11 6 2 3 10:7 20
6 Weston-super-Mare 11 5 3 3 19:11 18
7 Dover Ath. 11 5 3 3 18:17 18
8 Tonbridge 11 5 2 4 20:11 17
9 Dorking Wanderers 11 4 5 2 23:17 17
10 Farnham 11 5 2 4 17:16 17
11 Torquay 11 4 4 3 18:15 16
12 Ebbsfleet 7 4 3 0 9:3 15
13 Chelmsford 10 2 8 0 14:8 14
14 Hemel Hempstead 11 3 5 3 10:10 14
15 Folkestone 11 3 4 4 16:13 13
16 Maidenhead 11 3 4 4 12:12 13
17 Horsham FC 10 2 5 3 10:12 11
18 Farnborough 10 3 2 5 8:17 11
19 Chesham 11 3 1 7 16:24 10
20 AFC Totton 10 3 1 6 8:16 10
21 Braintree 11 3 1 7 18:27 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 11 2 2 7 11:26 8
23 Walton & Hersham 11 2 2 7 10:27 8
24 Slough Town 11 1 1 9 11:29 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)