Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dorking Wanderers vs Truro

England England

National League South Meadowbank, Dorking
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Francomb G.

AI Match Summary

Dorking Wanderers in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dorking Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Dorking Wanderers
35%
Draws
28%
Truro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dorking Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dorking Wanderers lately — more wins on the board than Truro.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Dorking Wanderers have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dorking Wanderers Clean Sheet 13%
Truro Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dorking Wanderers Truro
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Truro
1:0
Nov 30, 2024 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Truro
0:0
Aug 10, 2024 National League South
Truro vs Dorking Wanderers
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dorking Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Francomb G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Truro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dorking Wanderers 30 / 100
Truro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dorking Wanderers Truro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dorking Wanderers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dorking Wanderers has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Dorking Wanderers scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Truro let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Dorking Wanderers VS Truro
2 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dorking Wanderers

(Home)
12 Sept
Torquay
2 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
08 Sept
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3
Chelmsford
05 Sept
Billericay
3 : 3
Dorking Wanderers
31 Aug
Dorking Wanderers
1 : 0
Truro
29 Aug
Walton & Hersham
1 : 4
Dorking Wanderers
Page 1 of 7

Truro

(Away)
15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1
Salisbury
12 Sept
Truro
1 : 1
Walton & Hersham
08 Sept
Truro
4 : 1
Leicester U21
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1
Chesham
31 Aug
Dorking Wanderers
1 : 0
Truro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 9 6 1 2 17:9 19
2 Weston-super-Mare 9 5 2 2 16:7 17
3 Dagenham & Red. 9 5 1 3 9:7 16
4 Salisbury 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
5 Billericay 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
6 Tonbridge 9 4 2 3 18:9 14
7 Truro 8 4 2 2 11:4 14
8 Dover Ath. 9 4 2 3 15:16 14
9 Dorking Wanderers 9 3 4 2 18:13 13
10 Torquay 9 3 4 2 13:11 13
11 Farnham 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
12 Folkestone 8 3 3 2 15:9 12
13 Chesham 9 3 1 5 16:15 10
14 Chelmsford 8 1 7 0 9:8 10
15 Horsham FC 8 2 4 2 9:10 10
16 Hemel Hempstead 9 2 4 3 8:10 10
17 Maidenhead 9 2 4 3 8:11 10
18 Braintree 8 3 1 4 13:18 10
19 AFC Totton 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
20 Farnborough 8 3 1 4 6:11 10
21 Hampton & Richmond 9 2 2 5 11:23 8
22 Ebbsfleet 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
23 Slough Town 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
24 Walton & Hersham 8 0 1 7 4:24 1
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)