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Dorking Wanderers vs Truro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Francomb G.

AI Match Summary

Dorking Wanderers in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dorking Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Dorking Wanderers
15%
Draws
46%
Truro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Truro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Truro lately — more wins on the board than Dorking Wanderers.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Dorking Wanderers have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dorking Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%
Truro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dorking Wanderers Truro
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 17
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.9 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.8 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Truro
1:0
Nov 30, 2024 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Truro
0:0
Aug 10, 2024 National League South
Truro vs Dorking Wanderers
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dorking Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Francomb G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Truro Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dorking Wanderers 30 / 100
Truro 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dorking Wanderers Truro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dorking Wanderers scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Truro has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Dorking Wanderers went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Dorking Wanderers VS Truro
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dorking Wanderers

(Home)
03 Nov
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 2
Hampton & Richmond
31 Oct
Dorking Wanderers
2 : 0
Weston-super-Mare
27 Oct
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3
Hemel Hempstead
24 Oct
Slough Town
1 : 3
Dorking Wanderers
17 Oct
Dover Ath.
3 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

Truro

(Away)
03 Nov
Truro
1 : 0
West Brom U21
31 Oct
Truro
3 : 0
Ebbsfleet
27 Oct
Truro
3 : 1
Slough Town
24 Oct
Hampton & Richmond
3 : 4
Truro
17 Oct
Sutton
1 : 0
Truro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebbsfleet 14 9 4 1 35:10 31
2 Truro 14 9 3 2 27:12 30
3 Maidstone 15 9 2 4 26:18 29
4 Salisbury 14 8 4 2 25:10 28
5 Dorking Wanderers 15 7 6 2 34:23 27
6 Farnham 15 8 2 5 29:19 26
7 Billericay 13 7 4 2 32:16 25
8 Tonbridge 15 7 3 5 27:16 24
9 Dagenham & Red. 15 7 3 5 13:11 24
10 Horsham FC 15 5 7 3 21:16 22
11 Dover Ath. 14 6 4 4 20:19 22
12 Chelmsford 14 4 9 1 21:14 21
13 Torquay 14 5 5 4 22:17 20
14 Folkestone 15 5 5 5 22:18 20
15 Weston-super-Mare 14 5 3 6 21:21 18
16 Farnborough 15 5 2 8 12:31 17
17 Braintree 14 5 1 8 21:34 16
18 AFC Totton 15 5 1 9 14:27 16
19 Maidenhead 15 3 6 6 14:19 15
20 Hemel Hempstead 15 3 6 6 14:22 15
21 Chesham 14 3 2 9 20:32 11
22 Hampton & Richmond 15 2 3 10 18:36 9
23 Walton & Hersham 14 2 2 10 10:33 8
24 Slough Town 15 1 1 13 15:39 4
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