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Stadium Background

Dorking Wanderers vs Weston-super-Mare - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Dawes W.
45' Event
Camp B.
61' Event
Rogalski D.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Dorking Wanderers and Weston-super-Mare finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dorking Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Dorking Wanderers
20%
Draws
7%
Weston-super-Mare
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dorking Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Dorking Wanderers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Dorking Wanderers a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Dorking Wanderers Clean Sheet 20%
Weston-super-Mare Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dorking Wanderers Weston-super-Mare
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.84 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Weston-super-Mare
2:0
Apr 25, 2026 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs Dorking Wanderers
1:1
Dec 16, 2025 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Weston-super-Mare
3:2
Jan 18, 2025 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Weston-super-Mare
1:3
Sep 21, 2024 National League South
Weston-super-Mare vs Dorking Wanderers
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dorking Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Camp B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rogalski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Weston-super-Mare Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dorking Wanderers 85 / 100
Weston-super-Mare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dorking Wanderers Weston-super-Mare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dorking Wanderers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dorking Wanderers scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Weston-super-Mare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Dorking Wanderers has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dorking Wanderers VS Weston-super-Mare
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dorking Wanderers

(Home)
03 Nov
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 2
Hampton & Richmond
31 Oct
Dorking Wanderers
2 : 0
Weston-super-Mare
27 Oct
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3
Hemel Hempstead
24 Oct
Slough Town
1 : 3
Dorking Wanderers
17 Oct
Dover Ath.
3 : 2
Dorking Wanderers
Page 1 of 7

Weston-super-Mare

(Away)
31 Oct
Dorking Wanderers
2 : 0
Weston-super-Mare
28 Oct
Farnborough
2 : 1
Weston-super-Mare
17 Oct
Ebbsfleet
6 : 1
Weston-super-Mare
10 Oct
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1
Folkestone
26 Sept
Farnham
3 : 2
Weston-super-Mare
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebbsfleet 14 9 4 1 35:10 31
2 Truro 14 9 3 2 27:12 30
3 Maidstone 15 9 2 4 26:18 29
4 Salisbury 14 8 4 2 25:10 28
5 Dorking Wanderers 15 7 6 2 34:23 27
6 Farnham 15 8 2 5 29:19 26
7 Billericay 13 7 4 2 32:16 25
8 Tonbridge 15 7 3 5 27:16 24
9 Dagenham & Red. 15 7 3 5 13:11 24
10 Horsham FC 15 5 7 3 21:16 22
11 Dover Ath. 14 6 4 4 20:19 22
12 Chelmsford 14 4 9 1 21:14 21
13 Torquay 14 5 5 4 22:17 20
14 Folkestone 15 5 5 5 22:18 20
15 Weston-super-Mare 14 5 3 6 21:21 18
16 Farnborough 15 5 2 8 12:31 17
17 Braintree 14 5 1 8 21:34 16
18 AFC Totton 15 5 1 9 14:27 16
19 Maidenhead 15 3 6 6 14:19 15
20 Hemel Hempstead 15 3 6 6 14:22 15
21 Chesham 14 3 2 9 20:32 11
22 Hampton & Richmond 15 2 3 10 18:36 9
23 Walton & Hersham 14 2 2 10 10:33 8
24 Slough Town 15 1 1 13 15:39 4
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Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)