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Dorneda vs Alondras

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2012/2013 game between Dorneda and Alondras finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Dorneda
15%
Draws
54%
Alondras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alondras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Alondras carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 54% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Dorneda Clean Sheet 19%
Alondras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dorneda Alondras
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dorneda vs Alondras
1:0
Nov 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Dorneda
2:0
Mar 9, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dorneda vs Alondras
2:2
Oct 21, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Alondras vs Dorneda
1:0
Feb 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dorneda vs Alondras
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dorneda 32 / 100
Alondras 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dorneda Alondras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alondras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dorneda found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Alondras has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Dorneda went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Alondras
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dorneda

(Home)
11 May
Dorneda
1 : 1
Pontevedra
04 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 1
Dorneda
27 Apr
Dorneda
2 : 3
Deportivo Fabril
17 Apr
Rapido de Bouzas
2 : 1
Dorneda
13 Apr
Dorneda
1 : 0
Alondras
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Alondras

(Away)
26 Sept
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 4
Alondras
20 Sept
Alondras
2 : 0
Sarriana
13 Sept
Antela
0 : 2
Alondras
05 Sept
Alondras
2 : 6
Pontevedra B
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2
Alondras
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Club Ferrol 38 32 1 5 98:22 97
2 Celta Vigo B 38 22 11 5 75:34 77
3 Compostela 38 21 10 7 64:28 73
4 Deportivo Fabril 38 21 8 9 76:33 71
5 Pontevedra 38 17 12 9 57:45 63
6 CD AS Pontes 38 18 5 15 56:53 59
7 SD Ordenes 38 14 13 11 45:38 55
8 Rapido de Bouzas 38 14 10 14 39:53 52
9 Alondras 38 14 10 14 48:45 52
10 Racing Club Villalbes 38 12 12 14 45:42 48
11 Cerceda 38 12 12 14 35:44 48
12 Somozas 38 11 14 13 41:45 47
13 Betanzos CF 38 13 8 17 48:61 47
14 Barbadas-Bentraces 38 12 11 15 39:47 47
15 SD Negreira 38 12 9 17 37:56 45
16 Dorneda 38 13 6 19 37:55 45
17 Villalonga 38 11 12 15 44:50 45
18 Bergantinos 38 8 6 24 28:63 30
19 Celtiga 38 5 10 23 28:71 25
20 Naron 38 4 8 26 30:85 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)