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Dorostol vs Chernolomets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dorostol host Chernolomets in the Third League - North-East. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Dorostol have averaged 0.71 scored and 2.68 conceded recently, against Chernolomets's 2.46 scored and 1.18 conceded. Head-to-head, Dorostol have won 1 to Chernolomets's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (0.76 xG vs 2.50) point toward Chernolomets. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Dorostol
15%
Draws
85%
Chernolomets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernolomets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chernolomets come out ahead of Dorostol on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chernolomets a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Chernolomets have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Dorostol Clean Sheet 10%
Chernolomets Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dorostol Chernolomets
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 2 16
Draws 2 5
Losses 24 7
Goals Scored 0.71 2.46
Goals Conceded 2.68 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Dorostol
3:0
Dec 6, 2025 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Chernolomets
0:4
May 25, 2025 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Chernolomets
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Dorostol
1:2
Mar 23, 2024 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Chernolomets
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dorostol 10 / 100
Chernolomets 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dorostol Chernolomets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernolomets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Dorostol found the back of the net in 39% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Chernolomets conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Dorostol VS Chernolomets
0.63 Goals Scored 2.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dorostol

(Home)
17 Oct
Dorostol
0 : 1
Septemvri Dragoevo
10 Oct
Ustrem Donchevo
4 : 3
Dorostol
03 Oct
Dorostol
1 : 2
Fratria II
19 Sept
Devnya 2005
3 : 0
Dorostol
06 Sept
Benkovski
5 : 1
Dorostol
Page 1 of 6

Chernolomets

(Away)
17 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
0 : 0
Chernolomets
10 Oct
Chernolomets
5 : 1
Benkovski
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1
Chernolomets
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 9 7 1 1 24:5 22
2 Volov Shumen 9 6 1 2 27:9 19
3 Svetkavitsa 2014 10 6 1 3 17:11 19
4 Chernolomets 9 5 3 1 21:7 18
5 Chernomorets Balchik 8 5 2 1 12:7 17
6 Benkovski 7 4 1 2 16:11 13
7 Septemvri Tervel 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
8 Devnya 2005 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
9 Cherno More II 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
10 Septemvri Dragoevo 9 3 2 4 13:19 11
11 FK Riltzi 8 3 1 4 10:17 10
12 Botev Novi Pazar 7 2 3 2 12:10 9
13 Olympic Varna 9 3 0 6 16:24 9
14 Fratria II 9 3 0 6 10:26 9
15 Aksakovo 7 2 1 4 15:20 7
16 Ustrem Donchevo 10 2 1 7 19:30 7
17 Dorostol 8 0 0 8 5:23 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)