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Dorostol vs Fratria II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Dorostol and Fratria II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fratria II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Dorostol
15%
Draws
76%
Fratria II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fratria II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fratria II come out ahead of Dorostol on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dorostol a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Dorostol Clean Sheet 10%
Fratria II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dorostol Fratria II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 3 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 0.83 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.55 2.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Fratria II
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Fratria II
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 Third League - North-East
Fratria II vs Dorostol
0:1
Mar 23, 2025 Third League - North-East
Fratria II vs Dorostol
1:3
Sep 15, 2024 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Fratria II
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dorostol 34 / 100
Fratria II 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dorostol Fratria II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fratria II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Dorostol's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Dorostol remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dorostol VS Fratria II
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 4.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Dorostol

(Home)
10 Oct
Ustrem Donchevo
4 : 3
Dorostol
03 Oct
Dorostol
1 : 2
Fratria II
19 Sept
Devnya 2005
2 : 2
Dorostol
06 Sept
Benkovski
5 : 1
Dorostol
29 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
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Fratria II

(Away)
03 Oct
Dorostol
1 : 2
Fratria II
26 Sept
Fratria II
1 : 0
Devnya 2005
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1
Fratria II
12 Sept
Fratria II
2 : 1
Benkovski
05 Sept
Volov Shumen
9 : 0
Fratria II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 8 6 1 1 21:5 19
2 Chernolomets 8 5 2 1 21:7 17
3 Chernomorets Balchik 7 5 2 0 12:5 17
4 Volov Shumen 8 5 1 2 25:8 16
5 Svetkavitsa 2014 9 5 1 3 14:11 16
6 Cherno More II 8 3 2 3 13:9 11
7 Septemvri Tervel 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
8 Benkovski 6 3 1 2 14:11 10
9 Devnya 2005 8 3 1 4 9:14 10
10 FK Riltzi 8 3 1 4 10:17 10
11 Botev Novi Pazar 7 2 3 2 12:10 9
12 Olympic Varna 8 3 0 5 16:21 9
13 Fratria II 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
14 Septemvri Dragoevo 8 2 2 4 12:19 8
15 Aksakovo 7 2 1 4 15:20 7
16 Ustrem Donchevo 9 1 1 7 17:29 4
17 Dorostol 7 0 1 6 7:21 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)