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Dorostol vs Fratria II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2025/2026 game between Dorostol and Fratria II finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fratria II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dorostol
20%
Draws
40%
Fratria II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Fratria II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Dorostol's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dorostol here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Dorostol Clean Sheet 11%
Fratria II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dorostol Fratria II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 0.87 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.37 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Fratria II
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 Third League - North-East
Fratria II vs Dorostol
0:1
Mar 23, 2025 Third League - North-East
Fratria II vs Dorostol
1:3
Sep 15, 2024 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Fratria II
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dorostol 40 / 100
Fratria II 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dorostol Fratria II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fratria II conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Fratria II has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Dorostol scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Dorostol VS Fratria II
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 3.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Dorostol

(Home)
19 Sept
Devnya 2005
2 : 2
Dorostol
06 Sept
Benkovski
5 : 1
Dorostol
29 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
26 Aug
FK Riltzi
1 : 0
Dorostol
22 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 4
Svetkavitsa 2014
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Fratria II

(Away)
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1
Fratria II
12 Sept
Fratria II
1 : 1
Benkovski
05 Sept
Volov Shumen
9 : 0
Fratria II
30 Aug
Fratria II
0 : 1
FK Riltzi
26 Aug
Svetkavitsa 2014
4 : 0
Fratria II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Balchik 32 27 4 1 92:14 85
2 Ludogorets III 32 25 4 3 101:19 79
3 Septemvri Tervel 32 25 3 4 89:22 78
4 Volov Shumen 32 23 3 6 93:28 72
5 Chernolomets 32 20 3 9 78:43 63
6 Benkovski 32 18 6 8 68:40 60
7 Cherno More II 32 16 7 9 65:44 55
8 Ustrem Donchevo 32 17 3 12 73:67 54
9 Olympic Varna 32 10 6 16 58:80 36
10 Aksakovo 32 9 4 19 40:68 31
11 Fratria II 32 8 6 18 40:71 30
12 Svetkavitsa 2014 32 7 8 17 26:48 29
13 Botev Novi Pazar 32 8 5 19 34:69 29
14 Dorostol 32 8 4 20 29:67 28
15 Spartak Varna II 32 7 5 20 42:72 26
16 FK Riltzi 32 6 4 22 31:83 22
17 Svetkavitsa 32 0 1 31 5:129 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)