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Dorostol vs Ludogorets III Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2025/2026 game between Dorostol and Ludogorets III finished 0-9, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ludogorets III.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Dorostol
20%
Draws
73%
Ludogorets III
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ludogorets III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Ludogorets III carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ludogorets III's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ludogorets III have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Dorostol Clean Sheet 10%
Ludogorets III Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dorostol Ludogorets III
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 24
Draws 4 3
Losses 22 3
Goals Scored 0.83 3.43
Goals Conceded 2.43 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Ludogorets III
0:9
Nov 9, 2025 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Dorostol
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Ludogorets III
0:2
Sep 8, 2024 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Dorostol
1:0
May 12, 2024 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Dorostol
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dorostol 10 / 100
Ludogorets III 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dorostol Ludogorets III

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ludogorets III Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Dorostol's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ludogorets III has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Dorostol stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dorostol VS Ludogorets III
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dorostol

(Home)
03 Oct
Dorostol
1 : 2
Fratria II
19 Sept
Devnya 2005
2 : 2
Dorostol
06 Sept
Benkovski
5 : 1
Dorostol
29 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
26 Aug
FK Riltzi
1 : 0
Dorostol
Page 1 of 6

Ludogorets III

(Away)
26 Sept
Ludogorets III
2 : 1
Volov Shumen
19 Sept
FK Riltzi
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
13 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0
Ludogorets III
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Ludogorets III
30 Aug
Ludogorets III
5 : 1
Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Balchik 32 27 4 1 92:14 85
2 Ludogorets III 32 25 4 3 101:19 79
3 Septemvri Tervel 32 25 3 4 89:22 78
4 Volov Shumen 32 23 3 6 93:28 72
5 Chernolomets 32 20 3 9 78:43 63
6 Benkovski 32 18 6 8 68:40 60
7 Cherno More II 32 16 7 9 65:44 55
8 Ustrem Donchevo 32 17 3 12 73:67 54
9 Olympic Varna 32 10 6 16 58:80 36
10 Aksakovo 32 9 4 19 40:68 31
11 Fratria II 32 8 6 18 40:71 30
12 Svetkavitsa 2014 32 7 8 17 26:48 29
13 Botev Novi Pazar 32 8 5 19 34:69 29
14 Dorostol 32 8 4 20 29:67 28
15 Spartak Varna II 32 7 5 20 42:72 26
16 FK Riltzi 32 6 4 22 31:83 22
17 Svetkavitsa 32 0 1 31 5:129 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)