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Dorostol vs Septemvri Tervel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Wed, Oct 21, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dorostol host Septemvri Tervel in the Third League - North-East. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Dorostol have averaged 0.83 scored and 2.55 conceded recently, against Septemvri Tervel's 2.59 scored and 0.74 conceded. Past meetings favor Septemvri Tervel slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 2.38, favoring Septemvri Tervel. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Dorostol
20%
Draws
73%
Septemvri Tervel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Septemvri Tervel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Dorostol haven't matched Septemvri Tervel's recent run of results.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Septemvri Tervel taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Septemvri Tervel have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Dorostol Clean Sheet 10%
Septemvri Tervel Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dorostol Septemvri Tervel
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 3 19
Draws 4 4
Losses 22 4
Goals Scored 0.83 2.59
Goals Conceded 2.55 0.74
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Septemvri Tervel
0:3
Sep 27, 2025 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Dorostol
6:0
Apr 5, 2025 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Dorostol
2:0
Sep 28, 2024 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Septemvri Tervel
0:2
Apr 6, 2024 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Septemvri Tervel
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dorostol 10 / 100
Septemvri Tervel 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dorostol Septemvri Tervel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Tervel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Dorostol scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Septemvri Tervel conceded in 48% of 27 recent games.

Dorostol went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dorostol VS Septemvri Tervel
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dorostol

(Home)
10 Oct
Ustrem Donchevo
4 : 3
Dorostol
03 Oct
Dorostol
1 : 2
Fratria II
19 Sept
Devnya 2005
2 : 2
Dorostol
06 Sept
Benkovski
5 : 1
Dorostol
29 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
Page 1 of 6

Septemvri Tervel

(Away)
10 Oct
Ludogorets III
3 : 0
Septemvri Tervel
03 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 0
Septemvri Dragoevo
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1
Septemvri Tervel
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1
Fratria II
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2
Devnya 2005
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 8 6 1 1 21:5 19
2 Chernolomets 8 5 2 1 21:7 17
3 Chernomorets Balchik 7 5 2 0 12:5 17
4 Volov Shumen 8 5 1 2 25:8 16
5 Svetkavitsa 2014 9 5 1 3 14:11 16
6 Cherno More II 8 3 2 3 13:9 11
7 Septemvri Tervel 6 3 2 1 12:8 11
8 Benkovski 6 3 1 2 14:11 10
9 Devnya 2005 8 3 1 4 9:14 10
10 FK Riltzi 8 3 1 4 10:17 10
11 Botev Novi Pazar 7 2 3 2 12:10 9
12 Olympic Varna 8 3 0 5 16:21 9
13 Fratria II 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
14 Septemvri Dragoevo 8 2 2 4 12:19 8
15 Aksakovo 7 2 1 4 15:20 7
16 Ustrem Donchevo 9 1 1 7 17:29 4
17 Dorostol 7 0 1 6 7:21 1
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