Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dortmund U19 vs Verl U19

Germany Germany

Junioren Bundesliga West
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Rijkhoff J.
24' Event
Rijkhoff J.
(Penalty)
49' Event
Onofrietti V.

AI Match Summary

The Junioren Bundesliga West game between Dortmund U19 and Verl U19 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dortmund U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Dortmund U19
20%
Draws
0%
Verl U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dortmund U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Dortmund U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Dortmund U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Junioren Bundesliga West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Dortmund U19 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Dortmund U19 Clean Sheet 12%
Verl U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dortmund U19 Verl U19
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 3
Draws 5 4
Losses 10 23
Goals Scored 2.41 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.78 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Junioren Bundesliga West
Verl U19 vs Dortmund U19
2:5
Dec 17, 2023 Junioren Bundesliga West
Dortmund U19 vs Verl U19
3:0
Sep 3, 2022 Junioren Bundesliga West
Verl U19 vs Dortmund U19
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dortmund U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rijkhoff J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Onofrietti V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Verl U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dortmund U19 83 / 100
Verl U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dortmund U19 Verl U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dortmund U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dortmund U19's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Verl U19 conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.67 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Verl U19 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dortmund U19 VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dortmund U19

(Home)
13 Sept
Dusseldorf U19
1 : 1
Dortmund U19
08 Sept
Dortmund U19
2 : 3
Villarreal U19
05 Sept
Dortmund U19
5 : 1
RW Essen U19
26 Aug
Duisburg U19
1 : 1
Dortmund U19
23 Aug
VfL Osnabruck U19
0 : 2
Dortmund U19
Page 1 of 7

Verl U19

(Away)
11 May
Verl U19
1 : 3
Bochum U19
05 May
Dusseldorf U19
2 : 1
Verl U19
28 Apr
Verl U19
2 : 5
Dortmund U19
20 Apr
Koln U19
1 : 0
Verl U19
13 Apr
Verl U19
0 : 6
B. Monchengladbach U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dortmund U19 26 23 1 2 77:19 70
2 B. Monchengladbach U19 26 17 2 7 71:29 53
3 Leverkusen U19 26 15 3 8 55:29 48
4 Schalke U19 26 14 5 7 45:30 47
5 Paderborn U19 26 13 5 8 54:39 44
6 Viktoria Koln U19 26 11 5 10 46:42 38
7 Alemannia Aachen U19 26 12 1 13 37:59 37
8 Koln U19 26 10 4 12 39:40 34
9 Duisburg U19 26 9 6 11 45:43 33
10 Dusseldorf U19 26 8 6 12 46:48 30
11 Bochum U19 26 9 2 15 45:56 29
12 Arminia Bielefeld U19 26 8 4 14 27:49 28
13 Wuppertaler U19 26 5 4 17 26:76 19
14 Verl U19 26 2 4 20 23:77 10
Promotion - Junioren Bundesliga North (Play Offs)