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Dortmund vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Champions League 2025/2026 Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Brandt J.
Assist: Silva F.
33'
Sub
Anton W. In: Svensson D.
Out: Anton W.
42' Event
Aleesami H.
Assist: Berg P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Champions League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Dortmund
15%
Draws
32%
Bodo/Glimt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dortmund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bodo/Glimt lately — more wins on the board than Dortmund.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Dortmund taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Dortmund Clean Sheet 10%
Bodo/Glimt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dortmund Bodo/Glimt
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 23
Draws 2 3
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 2.1 2.79
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2025 Champions League
Dortmund vs Bodo/Glimt
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dortmund Compare

Top Goalscorer Brandt J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Bodo/Glimt Compare

Top Goalscorer Aleesami H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hauge J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dortmund 83 / 100
Bodo/Glimt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dortmund Bodo/Glimt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dortmund Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dortmund found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Dortmund went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Bodo/Glimt's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dortmund VS Bodo/Glimt
2.75 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dortmund

(Home)
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1
Dortmund
12 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 0
Paderborn
08 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 2
Villarreal
05 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 3
Dortmund
01 Sept
HEBC Hamburg
0 : 5
Dortmund
Page 1 of 6

Bodo/Glimt

(Away)
20 Sept
Brann
2 : 1
Bodo/Glimt
14 Sept
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 2
Sandefjord
10 Sept
Bayern Munich
5 : 0
Bodo/Glimt
04 Sept
Fredrikstad
1 : 2
Bodo/Glimt
30 Aug
Bodo/Glimt
4 : 2
Rosenborg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal 8 8 0 0 23:4 24
2 Bayern Munich 8 7 0 1 22:8 21
3 Liverpool 8 6 0 2 20:8 18
4 Tottenham 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
5 Barcelona 8 5 1 2 22:14 16
6 Chelsea 8 5 1 2 17:10 16
7 Sporting CP 8 5 1 2 17:11 16
8 Manchester City 8 5 1 2 15:9 16
9 Real Madrid 8 5 0 3 21:12 15
10 Inter 8 5 0 3 15:7 15
11 PSG 8 4 2 2 21:11 14
12 Newcastle Utd 8 4 2 2 17:7 14
13 Juventus 8 3 4 1 14:10 13
14 Atl. Madrid 8 4 1 3 17:15 13
15 Atalanta 8 4 1 3 10:10 13
16 Bayer Leverkusen 8 3 3 2 13:14 12
17 Dortmund 8 3 2 3 19:17 11
18 Olympiacos Piraeus 8 3 2 3 10:14 11
19 Club Brugge 8 3 1 4 15:17 10
20 Galatasaray 8 3 1 4 9:11 10
21 Monaco 8 2 4 2 8:14 10
22 Qarabag Agdam 8 3 1 4 13:21 10
23 Bodo/Glimt 8 2 3 3 14:15 9
24 Benfica 8 3 0 5 10:12 9
25 Marseille 8 3 0 5 11:14 9
26 Pafos 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
27 Royale Union SG 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
28 PSV 8 2 2 4 16:16 8
29 Ath Bilbao 8 2 2 4 9:14 8
30 Napoli 8 2 2 4 9:15 8
31 FC Copenhagen 8 2 2 4 12:21 8
32 Ajax 8 2 0 6 8:21 6
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 10:21 4
34 Slavia Prague 8 0 3 5 5:19 3
35 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 5:18 1
36 Kairat Almaty 8 0 1 7 7:22 1
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)