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Dortmund vs Elversberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Signal Iduna Park, Dortmund
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dortmund host Elversberg in the Bundesliga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Dortmund at 1.86 goals for, 0.96 against; Elversberg at 2.18 for, 1.5 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.13, favoring Dortmund. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Dortmund
30%
Draws
23%
Elversberg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dortmund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Elversberg haven't matched Dortmund's recent run of results.
  • Dortmund are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Dortmund Clean Sheet 20%
Elversberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dortmund Elversberg
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 18 14
Draws 3 6
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.86 2.18
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dortmund 76 / 100
Elversberg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dortmund Elversberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dortmund Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dortmund scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Elversberg let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Dortmund went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Elversberg registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dortmund VS Elversberg
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dortmund

(Home)
24 Oct
Dortmund
1 : 0
Eintracht Frankfurt
20 Oct
Sabah FC
1 : 2
Dortmund
17 Oct
Union Berlin
0 : 0
Dortmund
14 Oct
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 0
Dortmund
09 Oct
Dortmund
2 : 2
Werder Bremen
Page 1 of 6

Elversberg

(Away)
24 Oct
RB Leipzig
4 : 0
Elversberg
17 Oct
Elversberg
4 : 3
Augsburg
10 Oct
Union Berlin
1 : 0
Elversberg
24 Sept
Mannheim
2 : 1
Elversberg
20 Sept
Schalke
0 : 0
Elversberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 7 5 2 0 25:6 17
2 Dortmund 7 5 2 0 12:4 17
3 Freiburg 7 4 1 2 16:9 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen 7 4 1 2 16:12 13
5 RB Leipzig 7 4 0 3 20:11 12
6 Werder Bremen 7 3 3 1 15:14 12
7 Mainz 7 3 1 3 16:13 10
8 Elversberg 7 3 1 3 12:15 10
9 Augsburg 7 2 3 2 17:13 9
10 Hoffenheim 7 3 0 4 14:14 9
11 Hamburger 7 3 0 4 6:16 9
12 1. FC Koln 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
13 Paderborn 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
14 Eintracht Frankfurt 7 2 2 3 10:17 8
15 VfB Stuttgart 7 2 0 5 10:13 6
16 Schalke 7 1 3 3 4:7 6
17 Union Berlin 7 1 3 3 6:18 6
18 B. Monchengladbach 7 1 0 6 11:22 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)