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Dos Hermanas vs AD Ceuta B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026
Sat, May 23, 2026
4 - 2
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Heredia J. P. A.
57' Event
Guzman G.
89' Event
Vargas D.

AI Match Summary

Dos Hermanas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Dos Hermanas
20%
Draws
50%
AD Ceuta B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AD Ceuta B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Dos Hermanas have won more games recently than AD Ceuta B.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Dos Hermanas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dos Hermanas, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dos Hermanas Clean Sheet 16%
AD Ceuta B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dos Hermanas AD Ceuta B
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.17 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Dos Hermanas vs AD Ceuta B
4:2
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Dos Hermanas
2:2
Mar 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Dos Hermanas vs AD Ceuta B
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Ceuta B vs Dos Hermanas
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dos Hermanas Compare

Top Goalscorer Vargas D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Romero A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

AD Ceuta B Compare

Top Goalscorer Heredia J. P. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guzman G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dos Hermanas 31 / 100
AD Ceuta B 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dos Hermanas AD Ceuta B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Ceuta B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dos Hermanas scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Defensive concern: AD Ceuta B conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Dos Hermanas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dos Hermanas VS AD Ceuta B
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dos Hermanas

(Home)
08 Aug
Dos Hermanas
0 : 1
Linares
06 Aug
Dos Hermanas
2 : 4
Antoniano
28 Jul
Recreativo Huelva
3 : 1
Dos Hermanas
07 Jun
Dos Hermanas
1 : 4
Atletico Central
31 May
Atletico Central
1 : 2
Dos Hermanas
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AD Ceuta B

(Away)
04 Aug
Xerez CD
2 : 0
AD Ceuta B
23 May
Dos Hermanas
4 : 2
AD Ceuta B
17 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2
Dos Hermanas
10 May
San Roque de Lepe
0 : 1
AD Ceuta B
03 May
AD Ceuta B
2 : 2
Castilleja CF
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Dos Hermanas 6
AD Ceuta B 4
Atletico Central 2
Bollullos 1
Final
Dos Hermanas 3
Atletico Central 5