Sport Picks
Douanes Niamey vs AS Garde Nationale - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Niger
Super Ligue 
AI Match Summary
Douanes Niamey in this Super Ligue matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Douanes Niamey.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AS Garde Nationale
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Douanes Niamey haven't matched AS Garde Nationale's recent run of results.
- AS Garde Nationale are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Super Ligue form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Douanes Niamey have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Douanes Niamey Clean Sheet 20%
AS Garde Nationale Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Douanes Niamey | AS Garde Nationale |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 12 | 12 |
| Losses | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.62 | 0.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs AS Garde Nationale
1:0
May 30, 2026 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Douanes Niamey
2:1
Nov 7, 2025 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs AS Garde Nationale
1:0
Jul 10, 2025 Super Ligue
Douanes Niamey vs AS Garde Nationale
1:0
Nov 16, 2024 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Douanes Niamey
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Douanes Niamey 20 / 100
AS Garde Nationale 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Douanes Niamey AS Garde Nationale
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AS Garde Nationale Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Douanes Niamey scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Douanes Niamey went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
AS Garde Nationale let in goals in 45% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Douanes Niamey VS AS Garde Nationale
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Douanes Niamey
(Home) 02 Oct
AS UAM
0 : 0 Douanes Niamey
22 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 2 Urana
19 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0 AS Garde Nationale
12 Sept
ASFAN
2 : 0 Douanes Niamey
06 Sept
Wombeye
0 : 0 Douanes Niamey
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 2 Urana
19 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0 AS Garde Nationale
18 Jun
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0 ASFAN
04 Jun
Douanes Niamey
5 : 0 AS ZAM
21 May
Douanes Niamey
4 : 0 Nigelec
Page 1 of 3
AS Garde Nationale
(Away) 04 Oct
AS ZAM
0 : 2 AS Garde Nationale
22 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
3 : 1 Niima
19 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0 AS Garde Nationale
11 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
2 : 0 Tagour
06 Sept
JS Tahoua
0 : 0 AS Garde Nationale
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
AS ZAM
0 : 2 AS Garde Nationale
19 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0 AS Garde Nationale
06 Sept
JS Tahoua
0 : 0 AS Garde Nationale
08 Jun
Espoir
0 : 2 AS Garde Nationale
20 May
ASFAN
1 : 0 AS Garde Nationale
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Gendarmerie | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 15 |
| 2 | Sahel | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Urana | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | 11 |
| 4 | AS Garde Nationale | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 5 | ASFAN | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Police | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 7 | Wombeye | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 8 | Niima | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 9 | AS UAM | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Douanes Niamey | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | 5 |
| 11 | Liberte | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1:4 | 5 |
| 12 | Espoir | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 13 | Tagour | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 4 |
| 14 | Nigelec | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0:2 | 3 |
| 15 | JS Tahoua | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | 2 |
| 16 | AS ZAM | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:4 | 2 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
