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Douglas Haig vs El Linqueno

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Miguel Morales, Pergamino
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. El Linqueno have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Douglas Haig have conceded 0.87 and scored 1.4. Past meetings favor Douglas Haig slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 14, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.06) point toward Douglas Haig. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Douglas Haig
30%
Draws
31%
El Linqueno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Douglas Haig

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Douglas Haig have won more games recently than El Linqueno.
  • Douglas Haig are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Douglas Haig have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Douglas Haig, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Douglas Haig Clean Sheet 20%
El Linqueno Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Douglas Haig El Linqueno
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.4 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.87 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Torneo Federal
El Linqueno vs Douglas Haig
2:0
Apr 12, 2026 Torneo Federal
Douglas Haig vs El Linqueno
1:0
Jun 1, 2025 Torneo Federal
Douglas Haig vs El Linqueno
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 Torneo Federal
El Linqueno vs Douglas Haig
2:3
Sep 8, 2024 Torneo Federal
El Linqueno vs Douglas Haig
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Douglas Haig 76 / 100
El Linqueno 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Douglas Haig El Linqueno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Douglas Haig Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Douglas Haig's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

El Linqueno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Douglas Haig went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Douglas Haig VS El Linqueno
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Douglas Haig

(Home)
20 Sept
Douglas Haig
0 : 0
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
13 Sept
Sportivo Belgrano
0 : 4
Douglas Haig
30 Aug
Douglas Haig
1 : 2
Sol de America
23 Aug
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 3
Douglas Haig
16 Aug
Douglas Haig
3 : 1
Sarmiento de La Banda
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El Linqueno

(Away)
19 Sept
Sarmiento Resistencia
1 : 3
El Linqueno
13 Sept
El Linqueno
1 : 0
Boca Unidos
06 Sept
Independiente Chivilcoy
1 : 0
El Linqueno
30 Aug
El Linqueno
1 : 1
Atletico Escobar
23 Aug
Defensores de Vilelas
0 : 0
El Linqueno
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bartolome Mitre -
Boca Unidos -
TBD -
Defensores de Vilelas -
Sarmiento de La Banda -
Sportivo Belgrano -
TBD -
TBD -
Huracan Las Heras -
Juventud Antoniana -
TBD -
Sportivo Las Parejas -
Argentino MM -
San Martin Mendoza -
Douglas Haig -
El Linqueno -
Kimberley -
Deportivo Rincon -
TBD -
Juventud U.U. -
Villa Mitre -
Costa Brava -
TBD -
Fundacion Amigos -
9 de Julio Rafaela -
Gimnasia E.R. -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -