Sport Picks
Douglas Haig vs Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentina
Torneo Federal Miguel Morales, Pergamino 
Match Events
4'
4'
Palacio J.
31'
31'
Borgognoni G.
42'
42'
Magnago B.
AI Match Summary
The Torneo Federal game between Douglas Haig and Independiente Chivilcoy finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Douglas Haig.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Douglas Haig come out ahead of Independiente Chivilcoy on wins alone.
- Douglas Haig are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Douglas Haig Clean Sheet 68%
Independiente Chivilcoy Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Douglas Haig | Independiente Chivilcoy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 28, 2026 Torneo Federal
Independiente Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig
0:4
Apr 26, 2026 Torneo Federal
Douglas Haig vs Independiente Chivilcoy
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Torneo Federal
Independiente Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Torneo Federal
Douglas Haig vs Independiente Chivilcoy
4:2
Sep 1, 2025 Torneo Federal
Independiente Chivilcoy vs Douglas Haig
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Douglas Haig Compare
Top Goalscorer Palacio J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Independiente Chivilcoy Compare
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Douglas Haig 51 / 100
Independiente Chivilcoy 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Douglas Haig Independiente Chivilcoy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Douglas Haig found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Douglas Haig went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Independiente Chivilcoy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Douglas Haig VS Independiente Chivilcoy
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Douglas Haig
(Home) 30 Aug
Douglas Haig
1 : 2 Sol de America
23 Aug
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 3 Douglas Haig
16 Aug
Douglas Haig
3 : 1 Sarmiento de La Banda
12 Aug
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
0 : 0 Douglas Haig
08 Aug
Douglas Haig
1 : 4 San Martin Formosa
Page 1 of 7
30 Aug
Douglas Haig
1 : 2 Sol de America
16 Aug
Douglas Haig
3 : 1 Sarmiento de La Banda
08 Aug
Douglas Haig
1 : 4 San Martin Formosa
26 Jul
Douglas Haig
2 : 1 9 de Julio Rafaela
05 Jul
Douglas Haig
0 : 0 Sportivo Las Parejas
Page 1 of 4
Independiente Chivilcoy
(Away) 30 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
23 Aug
Independiente Chivilcoy
2 : 0 Tucuman Central
16 Aug
Sportivo Las Parejas
0 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
12 Aug
Independiente Chivilcoy
1 : 2 Sarmiento Resistencia
08 Aug
Boca Unidos
1 : 1 Independiente Chivilcoy
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Gimnasia E.R.
0 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
16 Aug
Sportivo Las Parejas
0 : 0 Independiente Chivilcoy
08 Aug
Boca Unidos
1 : 1 Independiente Chivilcoy
12 Jul
El Linqueno
2 : 1 Independiente Chivilcoy
05 Jul
Sportivo Belgrano
1 : 1 Independiente Chivilcoy
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 17:12 | 27 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 27 |
| 5 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:27 | 25 |
| 6 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 12:13 | 24 |
| 7 | Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | 22 |
| 8 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | El Linqueno | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | 19 |
| 10 | Gimnasia E.R. | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12:18 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | 30 |
| 2 | Bartolome Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 13:7 | 26 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 4 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:15 | 25 |
| 5 | Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:11 | 25 |
| 6 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:26 | 19 |
| 7 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 8 | Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12:23 | 15 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | 25 |
| 2 | Argentino MM | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:12 | 23 |
| 3 | Biblioteca Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 11:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 6 | Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12:13 | 18 |
| 9 | Juventud U.U. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 10:10 | 17 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13:4 | 31 |
| 2 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:7 | 27 |
| 3 | Kimberley | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 15:9 | 26 |
| 4 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 14:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Germinal | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15:18 | 18 |
| 7 | Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | 17 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8:16 | 13 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
