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Dourados vs Pantanal

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense game between Dourados and Pantanal finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pantanal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Dourados
35%
Draws
19%
Pantanal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dourados

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Dourados carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Dourados a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Dourados Clean Sheet 20%
Pantanal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dourados Pantanal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 11
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.43 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Dourados vs Pantanal
0:1
Jan 19, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Pantanal vs Dourados
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dourados 58 / 100
Pantanal 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dourados Pantanal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dourados Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dourados found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Pantanal has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Dourados has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dourados VS Pantanal
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dourados

(Home)
11 Mar
Corumbaense
2 : 0
Dourados
08 Mar
Dourados
1 : 1
Corumbaense
01 Mar
Dourados
3 : 3
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
21 Feb
Corumbaense
2 : 0
Dourados
15 Feb
Dourados
7 : 2
Bataguassu
Page 1 of 6

Pantanal

(Away)
01 Mar
Pantanal
2 : 2
Ivinhema
22 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
2 : 0
Pantanal
18 Feb
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Pantanal
11 Feb
Bataguassu
1 : 1
Pantanal
07 Feb
Pantanal
2 : 3
Naviraiense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naviraiense 9 5 3 1 13:9 18
2 Operario MS 9 4 5 0 14:5 17
3 Corumbaense 9 3 4 2 10:7 13
4 Ivinhema 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
5 Bataguassu 9 3 3 3 15:17 12
6 Dourados 9 2 4 3 15:14 10
7 Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
8 Pantanal 9 2 3 4 10:15 9
9 Costa Rica 9 1 5 3 6:10 8
10 Aguia Negra 9 1 4 4 9:13 7
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Sul-Matogrossense 2 2027 (Main)