Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dover Ath. vs Folkestone

England England

FA Cup
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Dover Ath. at 1.46 goals for, 1.75 against; Folkestone at 2.16 for, 1.19 against. Past meetings favor Dover Ath. slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 29, 2025, ending 3:4. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.94) point toward Folkestone. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Dover Ath.
35%
Draws
32%
Folkestone
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Folkestone have won more games recently than Dover Ath..
  • 32% — that's where the model lands on Folkestone taking it.
  • Folkestone arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Folkestone, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Dover Ath. Clean Sheet 10%
Folkestone Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dover Ath. Folkestone
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 10 17
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.46 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Dover Ath. vs Folkestone
3:4
Nov 5, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Folkestone vs Dover Ath.
0:1
Aug 13, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Dover Ath. vs Folkestone
2:3
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Dover Ath. vs Folkestone
2:1
Jul 24, 2021 Club Friendly
Dover Ath. vs Folkestone
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dover Ath. 26 / 100
Folkestone 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dover Ath. Folkestone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folkestone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Dover Ath.'s goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Folkestone let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Dover Ath. has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dover Ath. VS Folkestone
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dover Ath.

(Home)
08 Sept
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Maidenhead
31 Aug
Chesham
2 : 2
Dover Ath.
29 Aug
Dover Ath.
3 : 3
Braintree
22 Aug
Weston-super-Mare
2 : 3
Dover Ath.
Page 1 of 6

Folkestone

(Away)
08 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 1
Horsham FC
05 Sept
Torquay
3 : 2
Folkestone
31 Aug
Folkestone
2 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
29 Aug
Slough Town
0 : 2
Folkestone
22 Aug
Folkestone
1 : 1
Chelmsford
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Heaton Stannington 1
Knaresborough Town 0
Bamber Bridge 1
Trafford 3
AFC Emley 3
Bishop Auckland 1
TBD -
Spennymoor -
Bury FC 8
Wythenshawe FC 0
Workington 3
Marske United 0
Vauxhall 0
Dunston 2
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Redcar Town 1
Blyth Spartans 0
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Buxton -
TBD -
Whitby 2
Ashton United 5
Marine -
TBD -
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Radcliffe -
Lower Breck 5
Thornaby 1
TBD -
Chester -
Northwich Victoria 2
Atherton Collieries 3
Prescot Cables 2
Horbury Town 0
Redcar Athletic 1
Stocksbridge 0
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Warrington Rylands 3
Hyde 1
TBD -
Chorley -
Hebburn Town -
TBD -
Stockton 3
Guiseley 4
Shildon 2
Warrington Town 6
South Liverpool 4
Prestwich Heys 3
South Shields -
TBD -
Avro 0
Witton Albion 2
Morecambe -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
Garforth 1
United of Manchester 5
Ossett United 1
Pontefract Collieries 0
Curzon Ashton 1
Bradford PA 2
Lancaster 3
Tadcaster Albion 1
Bromsgrove 2
Nuneaton 0
Sporting Khalsa 0
Leek Town 5
North Ferriby FC 0
Barton Town 2
Bourne 2
Boldmere St Michaels 3
Leamington 3
Ilkeston 1
Sherwood Colliery 2
Gainsborough 4
Alvechurch 2
Wolverhampton City 0
Lye Town 1
Racing Club Warwick 5
Harborough -
TBD -
Stourbridge 1
Rushall 3
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
Worksop -
Wellingborough 3
Kettering 4
Quorn 2
Shepshed 1
Halesowen 3
Basford Utd. 1
Stamford 0
Mickleover 1
Hednesford -
TBD -
Coventry United 2
Bedworth United 1
Spalding United -
TBD -
Hanley Town 2
Abbey Hulton 1
Knowle 1
Worcester 2
Alfreton 0
Stratford 2
Stafford 3
Northampton on Chenecks 0
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Hereford -
Northampton Sileby 0
Anstey Nomads 4
Cleethorpes 1
Newcastle Town 2
Malvern Town 1
Redditch 5
Belper Town 0
Evesham 3
FC Witham Town 3
Stotfold 2
St. Albans 2
Hashtag 0
Leighton Town 1
Gorleston 4
London Lions 2
Bury Town 4
Chesham -
TBD -
Ware 6
Fakenham 4
Stortford 2
Berkhamsted Town 3
Hendon 7
Hullbridge 3
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley 2
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Biggleswade Town 1
Hitchin 4
Grays 0
Leiston 5
Desborough Town 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Peterborough Sports 4
Ipswich Wanderers 0
Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
Aveley 4
Cheshunt 2
Concord Rangers 2
Brentwood 4
Stanway Rovers 1
Needham Market 3
TBD -
Braintree -
Cambridge City 6
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Yaxley 1
Buckhurst Hill 4
Billericay -
TBD -
Frenford 0
Enfield Town 4
Harleston Town 3
Romford 1
Real Bedford 4
Royston Town 1
Dunstable 1
Woodford Town 3
Mulbarton Wanderers 3
Cornard United 0
Canvey Island 2
Newmarket 1
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Brantham 0
Waltham Abbey 7
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Three Bridges 0
Kingstonian 1
Leatherhead 3
Croydon Athletic 0
Westfield 1
Dartford 3
Hayes & Yeading 2
Camberley Town 1
Chertsey Town 3
Carshalton 2
Sittingbourne 3
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 4
Lewes 2
Cray Wanderers 3
TBD -
Maidstone -
Slough Town -
TBD -
Egham Town 0
Chatham 4
Dulwich Hamlet 4
East Grinstead Town 0
Faversham 2
Welling 3
Southall FC 2
Cobham 1
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers -
Whitehawk 2
Eastbourne Borough 4
Holmesdale 1
Windsor & Eton 5
Margate 1
Snodland 3
Redhill 1
Sheppey United 2
Walton & Hersham -
TBD -
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Horsham FC -
Tonbridge -
TBD -
Ramsgate 1
Bracknell Town 0
Flackwell Heath 0
Hanwell Town 1
Burgess Hill 0
Jersey Bulls 0
Hampton & Richmond -
TBD -
Crowborough 4
Whyteleafe 3
Uxbridge 3
Haywards Heath 0
TBD -
Farnborough -
Maidenhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Broadfields United 1
Chichester City 4
SE Dons 2
Erith Town 0
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
Folkestone -
Ascot United 1
Pagham 3
Hanworth Villa 4
Whitstable Town 1
AFC Totton -
TBD -
Gloucester City 5
Mangotsfield 1
Torquay -
TBD -
Basingstoke 0
AFC Stoneham 1
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
Wimborne 3
Portishead Town 1
Brixham 2
Dorchester 3
TBD -
Oxford City -
Fleetlands 0
Cirencester 3
TBD -
Farnham -
Winslow United 1
Swindon Supermarine 3
Bath City 0
Weymouth 2
Baffins Milton Rovers 1
Slimbridge 4
Wells City 0
Hungerford 4
Brackley -
TBD -
Portchester 2
Portland United 1
St. Blazey 1
Tiverton 2
Sholing 2
Andover New Street 0
Bishops Cleeve 2
Poole Town 1
Tadley Calleva 3
Laverstock & Ford 1
Merthyr Town -
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Truro -
Falmouth Town 2
Frome Town 4
Gosport Borough 1
Plymouth Parkway 3
Thame United 3
Reading City 2
Banbury 1
Exmouth Town 2
Yate 3
Devizes Town 0
Chippenham Town 4
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Salisbury -
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Taunton Town 4
Millbrook 0
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Quarter-finals
Heaton Stannington -
Trafford -
AFC Emley -
Spennymoor -
Bury FC -
Workington -
Dunston -
Scarborough Athletic -
Redcar Town -
Darlington FC -
Buxton -
Ashton United -
Marine -
Radcliffe -
Lower Breck -
Chester -
Atherton Collieries -
Prescot Cables -
Redcar Athletic -
Macclesfield -
Warrington Rylands -
Chorley -
Hebburn Town -
Guiseley -
Warrington Town -
South Liverpool -
South Shields -
Witton Albion -
Morecambe -
Southport -
United of Manchester -
Ossett United -
Bradford PA -
Lancaster -
Bromsgrove -
Leek Town -
Barton Town -
Boldmere St Michaels -
Leamington -
Gainsborough -
Alvechurch -
Racing Club Warwick -
Harborough -
Rushall -
Telford -
Worksop -
Kettering -
Quorn -
Halesowen -
Mickleover -
Hednesford -
Coventry United -
Spalding United -
Hanley Town -
Worcester -
Stratford -
Stafford -
Hereford -
Anstey Nomads -
Newcastle Town -
Redditch -
Evesham -
FC Witham Town -
St. Albans -
Gorleston -
Bury Town -
Chesham -
Ware -
Berkhamsted Town -
Hendon -
Hemel Hempstead -
Wingate & Finchley -
Hitchin -
Leiston -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
Peterborough Sports -
Bedford -
King’s Lynn -
Aveley -
Brentwood -
Needham Market -
Braintree -
Cambridge City -
Buckhurst Hill -
Billericay -
Enfield Town -
Harleston Town -
Real Bedford -
Woodford Town -
Mulbarton Wanderers -
Canvey Island -
Chelmsford -
Waltham Abbey -
Dagenham & Red. -
Kingstonian -
Leatherhead -
Dartford -
Hayes & Yeading -
Chertsey Town -
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough -
Cray Wanderers -
Maidstone -
Slough Town -
Chatham -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Welling -
Southall FC -
Dorking Wanderers -
Eastbourne Borough -
Windsor & Eton -
Snodland -
Sheppey United -
Walton & Hersham -
Horsham FC -
Tonbridge -
Ramsgate -
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Crowborough -
Uxbridge -
Farnborough -
Maidenhead -
Ebbsfleet -
Chichester City -
SE Dons -
Dover Ath. -
Folkestone -
Pagham -
Hanworth Villa -
AFC Totton -
Gloucester City -
Torquay -
AFC Stoneham -
Weston-super-Mare -
Wimborne -
Dorchester -
Oxford City -
Cirencester -
Farnham -
Swindon Supermarine -
Weymouth -
Slimbridge -
Hungerford -
Brackley -
Portchester -
Tiverton -
Sholing -
Bishops Cleeve -
Tadley Calleva -
Merthyr Town -
Truro -
Frome Town -
Plymouth Parkway -
Thame United -
Exmouth Town -
Yate -
Chippenham Town -
Salisbury -
Taunton Town -
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