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Dover Ath. vs Maidstone

England England

National League South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Pattisson C.
90' Event
Tanga J.

AI Match Summary

Maidstone in this National League South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maidstone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Dover Ath.
6%
Draws
90%
Maidstone
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Maidstone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dover Ath. haven't matched Maidstone's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Maidstone taking it.
  • Regular National League South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Maidstone have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Dover Ath. Clean Sheet 10%
Maidstone Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dover Ath. Maidstone
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 17
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.5 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Maidstone
0:2
Dec 26, 2025 National League South
Maidstone vs Dover Ath.
1:0
Mar 2, 2024 National League South
Dover Ath. vs Maidstone
0:1
Nov 14, 2023 National League South
Maidstone vs Dover Ath.
1:0
Sep 26, 2020 Club Friendly
Maidstone vs Dover Ath.
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dover Ath. Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Maidstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Pattisson C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tanga J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dover Ath. 10 / 100
Maidstone 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dover Ath. Maidstone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dover Ath.'s goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Maidstone has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Dover Ath. remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dover Ath. VS Maidstone
0.5 Goals Scored 2.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dover Ath.

(Home)
25 Jul
Dover Ath.
1 : 0
Burgess Hill
21 Jul
Dover Ath.
2 : 1
Deal Town
14 Jul
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Gillingham
04 Jul
Margate
0 : 1
Dover Ath.
25 Apr
Dover Ath.
2 : 2
Chesham
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Maidstone

(Away)
25 Jul
Maidstone
4 : 0
Ashford United
18 Jul
Ramsgate
1 : 3
Maidstone
11 Jul
Maidstone
4 : 1
Welling
25 Apr
Bath City
2 : 3
Maidstone
18 Apr
Maidstone
2 : 1
Worthing FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Worthing FC462591299:5284
2Hornchurch4623121181:6481
3Torquay462481487:6280
4Dorking Wanderers4623101378:6179
5Hemel Hempstead4623101355:4879
6Weston-super-Mare462391461:4878
7Maidenhead4622111366:4177
8Maidstone4622111372:5077
9Ebbsfleet4622111373:5477
10Chelmsford4621101573:6273
11Chesham462191668:5572
12AFC Totton462062060:7966
13Dagenham & Red.4617131661:6264
14Tonbridge4616121866:6560
15Horsham FC4615141753:5459
16Slough Town461592269:8754
17Salisbury4614112150:6553
18Hampton & Richmond4614112156:7253
19Farnborough4614112172:9253
20Dover Ath.4613112260:7550
21Bath City4610132350:7743
22Chippenham Town461192653:8042
23Enfield Town469132455:8240
24Eastbourne Borough46992859:9036
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)