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Downshire Y.M. vs Shankill

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2013/2014
Sat, Nov 9, 2013
3 - 2
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Downshire Y.M. in this Irish Cup 2013/2014 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Downshire Y.M.
15%
Draws
57%
Shankill
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shankill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Downshire Y.M. haven't matched Shankill's recent run of results.
  • Shankill are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Shankill arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Downshire Y.M., who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Downshire Y.M. Clean Sheet 10%
Shankill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Downshire Y.M. Shankill
Matches Played 18 19
Wins 8 10
Draws 0 1
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.94 1.79
Goals Conceded 3.06 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2013 Irish Cup
Downshire Y.M. vs Shankill
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Downshire Y.M. 10 / 100
Shankill 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Downshire Y.M. Shankill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shankill Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Downshire Y.M. scored in 83% of their last 18 outings.

Defensive concern: Shankill conceded in 84% of 19 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Shankill registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Downshire Y.M. VS Shankill
2.38 Goals Scored 1.75
3.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Downshire Y.M.

(Home)
26 Jul
Downshire Y.M.
1 : 5
Crusaders
28 Sept
Killyleagh Youth
1 : 0
Downshire Y.M.
17 Aug
Downshire Y.M.
2 : 0
Rectory Rangers
29 Sept
Downshire Y.M.
0 : 4
Drumaness
30 Sept
Downshire Y.M.
1 : 10
Moyola
Page 1 of 4

Shankill

(Away)
28 Sept
Shankill
1 : 4
Lisburn Rangers
03 Nov
Shankill
2 : 4
Lisburn Distillery
29 Sept
Shankill
2 : 1
Bangor Old Boys
02 Dec
Shankill
0 : 4
Crumlin Star
04 Nov
Hanover
2 : 3
Shankill
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Dergview -
TBD -
Nortel 0
Drumaness 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Ardglass 5
Carniny Amateur & Youth 3
TBD -
Glebe -
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Tobermore -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Limavady -
TBD -
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 0
Derriaghy 3
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirocco 2
Rathfern Rangers 1
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
Strabane Athletic 2
Crumlin United 0
Bryansburn 1
Lisburn Rangers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Downshire Y.M. 3
Shankill 2
Immaculata 0
Kilmore Rec 1
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Ballymoney -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Bangor Swifts 1
TBD -
Banbridge -
Crumlin Star 2
Newbuildings 1
Downpatrick 0
Newry City 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/32-finals
Ballymena -
TBD -
Killymoon 1
Harland & Wolff 8
Dergview 2
Drumaness 0
TBD -
Linfield -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Moyola 2
Annagh 0
TBD -
Dungannon -
Bangor FC 5
Knockbreda 2
Ardglass 2
Glebe 3
Chimney 3
Wakehurst 0
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Lisburn Distillery 2
Institute 1
Tobermore 1
PSNI 2
Limavady 2
Derriaghy 1
Lurgan Celtic 0
Queens University 5
Glenavon -
TBD -
Sirocco 1
Sport & Leisure 2
Strabane Athletic 2
Lisburn Rangers 0
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Armagh 2
Loughgall 0
TBD -
Ards -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Ballyclare 4
Larne 1
Downshire Y.M. 1
Kilmore Rec 3
Dundela 5
Portstewart 2
Coagh Utd 0
Carrick Rangers 2
Ballymoney 3
Newington FC 1
Rathfriland Rangers 2
Banbridge 4
Crumlin Star 4
Newry City 1
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Ballymena 3
Harland & Wolff 2
Dergview 0
Linfield 5
Coleraine 6
Cliftonville 5
Moyola 1
Dungannon 5
Bangor FC 7
Glebe 1
Chimney 0
Warrenpoint 2
Lisburn Distillery 2
PSNI 0
Limavady 0
Queens University 1
Glenavon 7
Sport & Leisure 0
Strabane Athletic 0
Ballinamallard 1
Armagh 5
Ards 3
Portadown 1
Glentoran 3
Ballyclare 3
Kilmore Rec 0
Dundela 2
Carrick Rangers 3
Ballymoney 1
Banbridge 0
Crumlin Star 1
Crusaders 2
1/8-finals
Ballymena 2
Linfield 1
Coleraine 2
Dungannon 3
Bangor FC 1
Warrenpoint 0
Lisburn Distillery 0
Queens University 2
Glenavon 3
Ballinamallard 0
Armagh 2
Glentoran 3
Ballyclare 2
Carrick Rangers 1
Ballymoney 0
Crusaders 4
Quarter-finals
Ballymena 4
Dungannon 1
Bangor FC 2
Queens University 3
Glenavon 2
Glentoran 1
Ballyclare 0
Crusaders 5
Semi-finals
Ballymena 3
Queens University 0
Glenavon 3
Crusaders 1
Final
Ballymena 1
Glenavon 2