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Downshire Y.M. vs U. U. Jordanstown Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2016/2017
Sat, Oct 1, 2016
3 - 2
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Downshire Y.M. advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Downshire Y.M.
15%
Draws
57%
U. U. Jordanstown
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: U. U. Jordanstown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • U. U. Jordanstown haven't matched Downshire Y.M.'s recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Downshire Y.M. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Downshire Y.M., who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 98%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 98%
Over 3.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 38%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Downshire Y.M. Clean Sheet 10%
U. U. Jordanstown Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Downshire Y.M. U. U. Jordanstown
Matches Played 18 7
Wins 8 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.94 1.57
Goals Conceded 3.06 3.57
Expected Goals (xG) 3.21 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2016 Irish Cup
Downshire Y.M. vs U. U. Jordanstown
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Downshire Y.M. 30 / 100
U. U. Jordanstown 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Downshire Y.M. U. U. Jordanstown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Downshire Y.M. scored in 83% of their last 18 outings.

Defensive concern: U. U. Jordanstown conceded in 86% of 7 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

U. U. Jordanstown's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Downshire Y.M. VS U. U. Jordanstown
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.67
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Downshire Y.M.

(Home)
26 Jul
Downshire Y.M.
1 : 5
Crusaders
28 Sept
Killyleagh Youth
1 : 0
Downshire Y.M.
17 Aug
Downshire Y.M.
2 : 0
Rectory Rangers
29 Sept
Downshire Y.M.
0 : 4
Drumaness
30 Sept
Downshire Y.M.
1 : 10
Moyola
Page 1 of 4

U. U. Jordanstown

(Away)
04 Nov
U. U. Jordanstown
0 : 11
Glebe
30 Sept
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys
1 : 2
U. U. Jordanstown
01 Oct
Downshire Y.M.
3 : 2
U. U. Jordanstown
20 Aug
U. U. Jordanstown
4 : 0
Dungannon Rovers
22 Aug
Abbey Villa
4 : 1
U. U. Jordanstown
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Dungannon -
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Dergview -
Richhill -
TBD -
TBD -
Nortel -
St. Marys -
TBD -
Donegal 1
Oxford Stars 3
Glebe 4
Iveagh Utd 0
Portaferry Rovers 2
Silverwood 3
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Moyola 3
Craigavon City 1
Grove 6
Sport & Leisure 3
Ballynahinch Olympic 2
Markethill 4
St. Patricks Young 5
Lurgan Town Boys 2
Laurelvale 1
TBD -
Ards Rangers -
Abbey Villa 5
Holywood 0
Saintfield 0
Dungiven 1
Newbuildings -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Crewe 5
Chimney 0
TBD -
Ardglass -
Crumlin United 4
Shankill 0
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Sofia Farmer 2
Lower Maze 1
Banbridge 0
Limavady 2
Donard -
TBD -
Tullyvallen Rangers 0
Windmill 5
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Knockbreda -
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Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
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Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 4
Rosario Youth 0
Dromore Amateurs 0
Queens University 14
Ballynure Old Boys 4
Foundry 1
TBD -
Lisburn Rangers -
Comber Rec 4
Brantwood 3
Ballywalter Recreation 1
Ardstraw 2
Mossley FC -
TBD -
TBD -
St Luke's -
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PSNI -
Institute -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
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Linfield -
Coleraine -
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Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
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Shorts -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 0
Dunloy 3
Strabane Athletic -
TBD -
Dundonald 2
East Belfast 5
Wakehurst -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne Technical Old Boys -
Desertmartin 2
Newcastle 0
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Tobermore -
Harland & Wolff -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
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Ballymena -
Portadown -
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Larne -
Fivemiletown -
Killymoon -
Hanover 2
Sirocco 3
Newry City 7
Oxford Sunnyside 0
Bangor FC 2
Newington FC 3
Downshire Y.M. 4
Rathfern Rangers 0
Dungannon Rovers 0
U. U. Jordanstown 4
Barn -
TBD -
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Dundela -
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Loughgall -
Armagh -
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Drumaness -
TBD -
Bloomfield 3
Seapatrick 4
Camlough -
TBD -
TBD -
Dromara -
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys -
Bangor Amateurs FC -
TBD -
Ballynahinch United -
Crumlin Star -
TBD -
Immaculata 1
Trojans 3
Portstewart -
TBD -
Magherafelt 1
Moneyslane FC 6
Islandmagee 4
Ballymacash 1
TBD -
Killyleagh Youth -
Valley Rangers 3
Newtowne FC 1
TBD -
Seagoe -
Coagh Utd 2
Malachians 1
Banbridge Rangers 4
Derriaghy 5
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Glenavon -
1/128-finals
Dungannon -
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Dergview -
Richhill -
Nortel -
St. Marys 4
Oxford Stars 5
Glebe 3
Silverwood 2
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Grove 5
Sport & Leisure 2
St. Patricks Young 1
Lurgan Town Boys 0
Ards Rangers 2
Abbey Villa 4
Dungiven 1
Newbuildings 2
Dollingstown 4
Crewe 5
Ardglass 1
Crumlin United 2
Ballymoney 3
Sofia Farmer 2
Limavady 0
Donard -
Windmill -
TBD -
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Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
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Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
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Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 1
Queens University 0
Ballynure Old Boys 2
Lisburn Rangers 4
Comber Rec 5
Ardstraw 2
Mossley FC 1
St Luke's 4
TBD -
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PSNI -
Institute -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
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Linfield -
Coleraine -
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Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
TBD -
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TBD -
Shorts 8
Dunloy 0
Strabane Athletic 4
East Belfast 5
Wakehurst 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Desertmartin 0
Tobermore 6
Harland & Wolff -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
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Ballymena -
Portadown -
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Larne -
Fivemiletown 4
Sirocco 1
Newry City 1
Newington FC 3
Downshire Y.M. 3
U. U. Jordanstown 2
Barn 1
Dundela 2
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Loughgall -
Armagh -
TBD -
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TBD -
Drumaness 2
Seapatrick 0
Camlough 0
Dromara 5
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2
Ballynahinch United 1
Crumlin Star 1
Trojans 2
Portstewart 2
Moneyslane FC 0
Islandmagee 5
Killyleagh Youth 3
Valley Rangers 7
Seagoe 0
Coagh Utd 1
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
1/64-finals
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Richhill 1
Oxford Stars 0
Glebe 0
Grove 1
Sport & Leisure 3
Ards Rangers 2
Abbey Villa 2
Dollingstown 3
Crewe 3
Ballymoney 1
Sofia Farmer 0
Windmill 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 1
Lisburn Rangers 0
Comber Rec 2
St Luke's 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shorts 2
East Belfast 0
Wakehurst 1
Tobermore 2
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Fivemiletown 5
Newington FC 4
Downshire Y.M. 2
Dundela 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness 2
Dromara 1
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1
Trojans 2
Portstewart 5
Killyleagh Youth 0
Valley Rangers 0
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
1/32-finals
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Richhill 6
Grove 2
Sport & Leisure 1
Dollingstown 3
Crewe 4
Windmill 3
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Lisburn Distillery 3
St Luke's 0
TBD -
PSNI -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Annagh -
TBD -
Shorts 0
Tobermore 6
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Fivemiletown 4
Dundela 3
TBD -
Loughgall -
Armagh -
TBD -
Drumaness 1
Trojans 3
Portstewart 4
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
Glenavon -
1/16-finals
Dungannon 3
Dergview 0
Richhill 1
Dollingstown 4
Crewe 2
Knockbreda 1
Ballinamallard 0
Warrenpoint 1
Crusaders 2
Ards 0
Lisburn Distillery 1
PSNI 2
Institute 4
Ballyclare 2
Glentoran 1
Linfield 2
Coleraine 5
Carrick Rangers 1
Annagh 0
Tobermore 2
Harland & Wolff 1
Lurgan Celtic 0
Cliftonville 1
Ballymena 2
Portadown 2
Larne 1
Fivemiletown 0
Loughgall 3
Armagh 2
Trojans 1
Portstewart 1
Glenavon 4
1/8-finals
Dungannon 4
Dollingstown 1
Crewe 0
Warrenpoint 5
Crusaders 2
PSNI 0
Institute 0
Linfield 2
Coleraine 1
Tobermore 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Ballymena 3
Portadown 2
Loughgall 1
Armagh 0
Glenavon 2
Quarter-finals
Dungannon 2
Warrenpoint 1
Crusaders 0
Linfield 2
Coleraine 4
Ballymena 0
Portadown 0
Glenavon 5
Semi-finals
Dungannon 0
Linfield 1
Coleraine 2
Glenavon 1
Final
Linfield 3
Coleraine 0