Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Downtown vs Freeport

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Downtown Logo

Downtown

1 - 2
FT
Freeport Logo

Freeport

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The LFA First Division game between Downtown and Freeport finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Freeport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Downtown
35%
Draws
29%
Freeport
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Downtown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Downtown have managed 1.19 goals a game lately — Freeport are scoring more at 1.55.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular LFA First Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Downtown Clean Sheet 18%
Freeport Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Downtown Freeport
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1.19 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 LFA First Division
Freeport vs Downtown
2:2
Nov 16, 2025 LFA First Division
Downtown vs Freeport
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Downtown 36 / 100
Freeport 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Downtown Freeport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freeport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Downtown scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Freeport let in goals in 97% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Downtown remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Downtown VS Freeport
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Downtown

(Home)
23 May
Gardnersville
1 : 1
Downtown
14 May
Downtown
1 : 0
Borough FC
09 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Downtown
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
13 Apr
BEA Mountain
4 : 1
Downtown
Page 1 of 6

Freeport

(Away)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
14 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Freeport
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
26 Apr
Black Man Warrior
0 : 0
Freeport
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watanga 26 16 8 2 40:20 56
2 BEA Mountain 26 15 7 4 56:22 52
3 FC Fassell 26 13 8 5 31:17 47
4 LPRC Oiler 26 11 8 7 36:29 41
5 Liberia Registry 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
6 Paynesville 26 10 8 8 41:42 38
7 Discoveries 26 9 8 9 31:23 35
8 Wologizi 26 9 7 10 38:40 34
9 Heaven Eleven 26 7 11 8 33:35 32
10 Borough FC 26 6 9 11 33:44 27
11 Downtown 26 7 6 13 32:44 27
12 Gardnersville 26 7 6 13 36:51 27
13 Black Man Warrior 26 4 8 14 16:28 20
14 Freeport 26 4 5 17 38:64 17
15 Jubilee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)