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Doxa Dramas vs A. Asteras

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 game between Doxa Dramas and A. Asteras finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Doxa Dramas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Doxa Dramas
15%
Draws
46%
A. Asteras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: A. Asteras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Doxa Dramas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Doxa Dramas's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Doxa Dramas Clean Sheet 20%
A. Asteras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doxa Dramas A. Asteras
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 25 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.13 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
A. Asteras vs Doxa Dramas
0:3
Jan 18, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Doxa Dramas vs A. Asteras
3:2
Feb 27, 2022 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
A. Asteras vs Doxa Dramas
0:0
Nov 28, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Doxa Dramas vs A. Asteras
0:2
Apr 10, 2011 Football League
Doxa Dramas vs A. Asteras
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doxa Dramas 42 / 100
A. Asteras 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doxa Dramas A. Asteras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Doxa Dramas scored in 80% of their last 40 outings.

A. Asteras has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Doxa Dramas stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Doxa Dramas VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Doxa Dramas

(Home)
30 Aug
Doxa Dramas
1 : 2
Xanthi
08 Apr
Poseidonas Michanionas
2 : 3
Doxa Dramas
05 Apr
Doxa Dramas
0 : 2
Iraklis Thermaikou
01 Apr
Panthrakikos
2 : 0
Doxa Dramas
28 Mar
Xanthi
0 : 1
Doxa Dramas
Page 1 of 8

A. Asteras

(Away)
30 Apr
A. Asteras
2 : 2
Panthrakikos
23 Apr
A. Asteras
2 : 0
M. Alexandros Orfaniou
19 Apr
Chrisoupolis
4 : 1
A. Asteras
08 Apr
A. Asteras
0 : 3
Doxa Dramas
02 Apr
Aris Avatou
0 : 1
A. Asteras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kampaniakos 28 17 8 3 50:19 59
2 Kavala 28 16 7 5 55:23 55
3 Poseidonas Michanionas 28 16 5 7 40:29 53
4 Doxa Dramas 28 14 7 7 52:32 49
5 Apollon Paralimniou 28 13 8 7 49:32 47
6 Panthrakikos 28 13 8 7 44:36 47
7 Chrisoupolis 28 11 8 9 38:34 41
8 Aris Avatou 28 13 2 13 29:35 41
9 Thermaikos FC 28 10 10 8 26:26 40
10 Pandramaikos 28 11 4 13 43:35 37
11 Vyron Kavala 28 7 11 10 36:37 32
12 A. Asteras 28 7 9 12 26:41 30
13 Orfeas Xanthi 28 8 6 14 31:49 30
14 Alexandroupoli FC 28 2 7 19 17:52 13
15 M. Alexandros Orfaniou 28 0 4 24 12:68 4
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)