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Doze Futebol Clube vs CA Itapemirim

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Capixaba 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Doze Futebol Clube play CA Itapemirim in the Campeonato Capixaba 2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Doze Futebol Clube averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. CA Itapemirim averaged 0.97 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Doze Futebol Clube won 0, CA Itapemirim won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 24, 2018 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Doze Futebol Clube and 1.05 for CA Itapemirim. This points to a Doze Futebol Clube double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Doze Futebol Clube
25%
Draws
32%
CA Itapemirim
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Doze Futebol Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Doze Futebol Clube picked up more points recently compared to CA Itapemirim.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Doze Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 22%
CA Itapemirim Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Doze Futebol Clube CA Itapemirim
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.24 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.52 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2018 Capixaba
CA Itapemirim vs Doze Futebol Clube
4:1
May 6, 2017 Capixaba
CA Itapemirim vs Doze Futebol Clube
2:1
Apr 29, 2017 Capixaba
Doze Futebol Clube vs CA Itapemirim
2:2
Mar 11, 2017 Capixaba
Doze Futebol Clube vs CA Itapemirim
0:2
Mar 10, 2016 Capixaba
CA Itapemirim vs Doze Futebol Clube
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Doze Futebol Clube 43 / 100
CA Itapemirim 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Doze Futebol Clube CA Itapemirim

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Doze Futebol Clube or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Doze Futebol Clube attacking → ← attacking CA Itapemirim

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Doze Futebol Clube scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

CA Itapemirim let in goals in 86% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Doze Futebol Clube went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

CA Itapemirim lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 28
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rio Branco ES852110:517
2Real Noroeste84317:415
3Linhares Futebol Clube84047:812
4SAO Mateus82155:87
5Sport-ES81255:95
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Desportiva Ferroviaria853010:318
2Galatas83326:212
3CA Itapemirim82425:410
4Estrela do Norte82244:78
5Doze Futebol Clube81251:105