Sport Picks

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D.R. Congo vs Equatorial Guinea

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations
D.R. Congo Logo

D.R. Congo

Wed, Sep 23, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Equatorial Guinea Logo

Equatorial Guinea

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. D.R. Congo have averaged 1.54 scored and 0.71 conceded recently, against Equatorial Guinea's 0.8 scored and 1.17 conceded. Head-to-head, D.R. Congo have won 2 to Equatorial Guinea's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2015, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 0.41) point toward D.R. Congo. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
D.R. Congo
20%
Draws
40%
Equatorial Guinea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • D.R. Congo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives D.R. Congo a 40% chance of winning this.
  • D.R. Congo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor D.R. Congo, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • D.R. Congo have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
D.R. Congo Clean Sheet 20%
Equatorial Guinea Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric D.R. Congo Equatorial Guinea
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 22 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.54 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.41
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations
D.R. Congo vs Equatorial Guinea
1:0
Oct 14, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations
Equatorial Guinea vs D.R. Congo
2:1
Sep 9, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations
D.R. Congo vs Equatorial Guinea
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

D.R. Congo 40 / 100
Equatorial Guinea 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
D.R. Congo Equatorial Guinea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick D.R. Congo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

D.R. Congo's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Equatorial Guinea has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Equatorial Guinea has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

D.R. Congo VS Equatorial Guinea
1.25 Goals Scored 0.57
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.14
50% Over 1.5 43%
13% Over 2.5 29%
0% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

D.R. Congo

(Home)
01 Jul
England
2 : 1
D.R. Congo
27 Jun
D.R. Congo
3 : 1
Uzbekistan
24 Jun
Colombia
1 : 0
D.R. Congo
17 Jun
Portugal
1 : 1
D.R. Congo
09 Jun
D.R. Congo
1 : 2
Chile
Page 1 of 7

Equatorial Guinea

(Away)
09 Jun
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1
Comoros
31 Mar
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 1
Madagascar
25 Mar
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 1
Equatorial Guinea
31 Dec
Equatorial Guinea
1 : 3
Algeria
28 Dec
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1
Sudan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Lesotho 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Gabon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Niger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Egypt 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Angola 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 South Sudan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ghana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Gambia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Ivory Coast 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Somalia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kenya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 South Africa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Guinea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Eritrea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sierra Leone 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Equatorial Guinea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Zimbabwe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 D.R. Congo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mauritania 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Burkina Faso 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Benin 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Central Africa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Namibia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Cameroon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Congo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Comoros 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Libya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Tunisia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Botswana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Uganda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Burundi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Zambia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Togo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ethiopia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Senegal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Mozambique 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Sudan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cape Verde 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Liberia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Rwanda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mali 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Nigeria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Madagascar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Guinea Bissau 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)