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D.R. Congo W vs Mali W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2006
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Mali W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
D.R. Congo W
30%
Draws
39%
Mali W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mali W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • D.R. Congo W haven't matched Mali W's recent run of results.
  • D.R. Congo W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Mali W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mali W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
D.R. Congo W Clean Sheet 20%
Mali W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric D.R. Congo W Mali W
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 10 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.94 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.53 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2006 Africa Cup of Nations Women
D.R. Congo W vs Mali W
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

D.R. Congo W 49 / 100
Mali W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
D.R. Congo W Mali W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick D.R. Congo W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

D.R. Congo W scored in 64% of their last 25 games.

Mali W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

D.R. Congo W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

D.R. Congo W VS Mali W
1.43 Goals Scored 0.88
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.63
57% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

D.R. Congo W

(Home)
15 Apr
Thailand W
2 : 0
D.R. Congo W
12 Apr
Indonesia W
1 : 7
D.R. Congo W
28 Oct
South Africa W
1 : 0
D.R. Congo W
22 Oct
D.R. Congo W
1 : 1
South Africa W
12 Jul
Zambia W
1 : 0
D.R. Congo W
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Mali W

(Away)
06 Aug
Mali W
1 : 1
Ghana W
02 Aug
Mali W
3 : 2
Cape Verde W
29 Jul
Cameroon W
2 : 1
Mali W
20 Jul
Mali W
0 : 1
Ivory Coast W
07 Jun
Burkina Faso W
2 : 2
Mali W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria W 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 South Africa W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Equatorial Guinea W 3 0 1 2 5:9 1
4 Algeria W 3 0 1 2 3:13 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women 2006 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ghana W 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Cameroon W 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Mali W 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 D.R. Congo W 3 0 1 2 4:7 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women 2006 (Play Offs)