Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dragon vs Aguila

El Salvador El Salvador

Copa Presidente
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-4, with Aguila advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Dragon
17%
Draws
70%
Aguila
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Aguila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Aguila carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Aguila are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Aguila arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aguila, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Aguila have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Dragon Clean Sheet 10%
Aguila Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dragon Aguila
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 18
Draws 3 6
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 4.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Copa Presidente
Dragon vs Aguila
1:4
Mar 26, 2025 Primera Division
Aguila vs Dragon
4:1
Jan 29, 2025 Primera Division
Dragon vs Aguila
0:2
Oct 16, 2024 Primera Division
Aguila vs Dragon
3:0
Jul 28, 2024 Primera Division
Dragon vs Aguila
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dragon 14 / 100
Aguila 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dragon Aguila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AGU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Dragon's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Aguila conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Dragon went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dragon VS Aguila
1 Goals Scored 1.88
4.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dragon

(Home)
22 Apr
FAS
4 : 1
Dragon
07 Apr
Dragon
1 : 5
FAS
11 Mar
Dragon
3 : 3
Fuerte San Francisco
26 Feb
Racing de Gualuca
0 : 1
Dragon
11 Feb
Dragon
1 : 4
Aguila
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Aguila

(Away)
26 Jul
Aguila
1 : 1
Luis Angel Firpo
24 May
Aguila
0 : 3
FAS
17 May
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 2
Aguila
13 May
Aguila
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
10 May
Alianza FC
0 : 2
Aguila
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Municipal Limeno31204:35
2Platense Municipal31114:34
3CD Cruzeiro30301:13
4Tenancingo30212:42
Promotion - Copa Presidente (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aguila33007:19
2Fuerte San Francisco31116:44
3Dragon31115:74
4Racing de Gualuca30030:60
Promotion - Copa Presidente (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cacahuatique32017:26
2El Roble de Ilobasco31115:54
3Luis Angel Firpo31112:44
4Cabanas31023:63
Promotion - Copa Presidente (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Batanecos32014:16
2Alianza FC31206:55
3Zacatecoluca FC31114:64
4Vendaval30122:41
Promotion - Copa Presidente (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FAS32106:37
2Hercules31206:45
3Izalco31116:54
4Fuerte Aguilares30031:70
Promotion - Copa Presidente (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter Santa Tecla32108:37
2Metapan32104:17
3Talleres Jr31023:53
4Once Municipal30031:70
Promotion - Copa Presidente (Play Offs)