Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dragon vs Luis Angel Firpo

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Melgar R.
72' Event
Gonzalez R.
79' Event
Cerritos M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Luis Angel Firpo in this Primera Division 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luis Angel Firpo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Dragon
6%
Draws
90%
Luis Angel Firpo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Luis Angel Firpo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Luis Angel Firpo lately — more wins on the board than Dragon.
  • Win probability leans Luis Angel Firpo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Luis Angel Firpo have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Dragon Clean Sheet 10%
Luis Angel Firpo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dragon Luis Angel Firpo
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 6 26
Draws 3 8
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 1.67 1.88
Goals Conceded 4 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Primera Division
Dragon vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:4
Jan 26, 2025 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Dragon
1:0
Oct 30, 2024 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Dragon
1:0
Aug 28, 2024 Primera Division
Dragon vs Luis Angel Firpo
2:3
Mar 24, 2024 Primera Division
Dragon vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dragon Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Luis Angel Firpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Melgar R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mejia K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dragon 10 / 100
Luis Angel Firpo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dragon Luis Angel Firpo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Dragon found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Luis Angel Firpo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 41 matches.

Dragon has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dragon VS Luis Angel Firpo
1.67 Goals Scored 1.88
4 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dragon

(Home)
22 Apr
FAS
4 : 1
Dragon
07 Apr
Dragon
1 : 5
FAS
11 Mar
Dragon
3 : 3
Fuerte San Francisco
26 Feb
Racing de Gualuca
0 : 1
Dragon
11 Feb
Dragon
1 : 4
Aguila
Page 1 of 6

Luis Angel Firpo

(Away)
17 May
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 2
Aguila
13 May
Aguila
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
10 May
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 1
Metapan
07 May
Metapan
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 May
Aguila
1 : 1
Luis Angel Firpo
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aguila20134337:1743
2Luis Angel Firpo20116334:1639
3Alianza FC20123528:1139
4Metapan2098322:1335
5Municipal Limeno2069521:2027
6Cacahuatique2069518:2427
7Fuerte San Francisco2066815:2024
8FAS2057817:2322
9Platense Municipal20551018:2520
10Dragon20421417:3014
1111 Deportivo20151412:408
Promotion - Primera Division 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)