Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dragones de Oaxaca vs Acambaro

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Dominguez D.
59' Event
Toledo E.
63' Event
Toledo E.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 game between Dragones de Oaxaca and Acambaro finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Acambaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Dragones de Oaxaca
20%
Draws
40%
Acambaro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Acambaro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Dragones de Oaxaca taking it.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Dragones de Oaxaca Clean Sheet 11%
Acambaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dragones de Oaxaca Acambaro
Matches Played 24 24
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Acambaro vs Dragones de Oaxaca
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Liga Premier Serie B
Dragones de Oaxaca vs Acambaro
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Liga Premier Serie B
Dragones de Oaxaca vs Acambaro
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dragones de Oaxaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Toledo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Acambaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Dominguez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dragones de Oaxaca 35 / 100
Acambaro 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dragones de Oaxaca Acambaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dragones de Oaxaca scored in 75% of their last 24 outings.

Acambaro let in goals in 79% of their last 24 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Dragones de Oaxaca stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dragones de Oaxaca VS Acambaro
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dragones de Oaxaca

(Home)
20 Sept
Dragones de Oaxaca
3 : 0
Canoneros FC
13 Sept
Acambaro
1 : 1
Dragones de Oaxaca
06 Sept
Dragones de Oaxaca
2 : 1
Halcones Negros
29 Aug
Ciervos
0 : 2
Dragones de Oaxaca
28 Mar
Poza Rica
2 : 1
Dragones de Oaxaca
Page 1 of 5

Acambaro

(Away)
19 Sept
Guerreros del Pacifico
0 : 1
Acambaro
13 Sept
Acambaro
1 : 1
Dragones de Oaxaca
06 Sept
CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos
1 : 2
Acambaro
30 Aug
Acambaro
8 : 0
Canoneros FC
30 Mar
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
4 : 0
Acambaro
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artesanos Metepec 18 13 2 3 35:14 42
2 Poza Rica 18 9 3 6 24:26 31
3 FC Racing 18 8 8 2 23:11 30
4 Gorilas de Juanacatlan 18 8 4 6 25:16 30
5 Acambaro 18 8 2 8 30:32 30
6 CD Ayense 18 8 2 8 28:20 28
7 Dragones de Oaxaca 18 6 6 6 23:16 28
8 Aguacateros CD Uruapan 18 7 3 8 31:31 27
9 Caja Oblatos 18 4 1 13 9:38 12
10 Huracanes Izcalli 18 3 1 14 23:47 9
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)