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Dragones de Oaxaca vs Caja Oblatos

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026
Tue, Feb 3, 2026
2 - 3
02:05 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Caja Oblatos in this Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Caja Oblatos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Dragones de Oaxaca
15%
Draws
32%
Caja Oblatos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dragones de Oaxaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Dragones de Oaxaca have won more games recently than Caja Oblatos.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Dragones de Oaxaca taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Dragones de Oaxaca Clean Sheet 20%
Caja Oblatos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dragones de Oaxaca Caja Oblatos
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 2
Losses 7 21
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.92 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2026 Liga Premier Serie B
Dragones de Oaxaca vs Caja Oblatos
2:3
Oct 5, 2025 Liga Premier Serie B
Caja Oblatos vs Dragones de Oaxaca
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dragones de Oaxaca 85 / 100
Caja Oblatos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dragones de Oaxaca Caja Oblatos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dragones de Oaxaca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caja Oblatos has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Dragones de Oaxaca found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (24 games).

Dragones de Oaxaca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dragones de Oaxaca VS Caja Oblatos
1.25 Goals Scored 0.71
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.71
63% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Dragones de Oaxaca

(Home)
20 Sept
Dragones de Oaxaca
3 : 0
Canoneros FC
13 Sept
Acambaro
1 : 1
Dragones de Oaxaca
06 Sept
Dragones de Oaxaca
2 : 1
Halcones Negros
29 Aug
Ciervos
0 : 2
Dragones de Oaxaca
28 Mar
Poza Rica
2 : 1
Dragones de Oaxaca
Page 1 of 5

Caja Oblatos

(Away)
14 Mar
Artesanos Metepec
4 : 0
Caja Oblatos
08 Mar
Caja Oblatos
0 : 2
Aguacateros CD Uruapan
28 Feb
Caja Oblatos
1 : 0
FC Racing
14 Feb
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
2 : 0
Caja Oblatos
08 Feb
Caja Oblatos
1 : 0
Huracanes Izcalli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artesanos Metepec 18 13 2 3 35:14 42
2 Poza Rica 18 9 3 6 24:26 31
3 FC Racing 18 8 8 2 23:11 30
4 Gorilas de Juanacatlan 18 8 4 6 25:16 30
5 Acambaro 18 8 2 8 30:32 30
6 CD Ayense 18 8 2 8 28:20 28
7 Dragones de Oaxaca 18 6 6 6 23:16 28
8 Aguacateros CD Uruapan 18 7 3 8 31:31 27
9 Caja Oblatos 18 4 1 13 9:38 12
10 Huracanes Izcalli 18 3 1 14 23:47 9
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)