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Dragones de Oaxaca vs Halcones Negros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Orrantia E.
42' Event
57' Event
Orrantia E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A game between Dragones de Oaxaca and Halcones Negros finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dragones de Oaxaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Dragones de Oaxaca
15%
Draws
40%
Halcones Negros
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dragones de Oaxaca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dragones de Oaxaca come out ahead of Halcones Negros on wins alone.
  • Dragones de Oaxaca are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dragones de Oaxaca Clean Sheet 12%
Halcones Negros Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dragones de Oaxaca Halcones Negros
Matches Played 26 6
Wins 10 3
Draws 8 1
Losses 8 2
Goals Scored 1.5 2.83
Goals Conceded 1.08 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Dragones de Oaxaca vs Halcones Negros
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dragones de Oaxaca Compare

Top Goalscorer Orrantia E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Halcones Negros Compare

Avg xG / game 1.56
Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dragones de Oaxaca 47 / 100
Halcones Negros 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dragones de Oaxaca Halcones Negros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dragones de Oaxaca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dragones de Oaxaca found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (26 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Dragones de Oaxaca has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Halcones Negros has conceded goals in 33% of their last 6 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dragones de Oaxaca VS Halcones Negros
1.38 Goals Scored 2.43
1 Goals Conceded 0.57
75% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 71%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Dragones de Oaxaca

(Home)
04 Oct
Dragones de Oaxaca
3 : 2
Real Refineros
27 Sept
CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos
4 : 3
Dragones de Oaxaca
20 Sept
Dragones de Oaxaca
3 : 0
Canoneros FC
13 Sept
Acambaro
1 : 1
Dragones de Oaxaca
06 Sept
Dragones de Oaxaca
2 : 1
Halcones Negros
Page 1 of 6

Halcones Negros

(Away)
03 Oct
Ciervos
0 : 5
Halcones Negros
27 Sept
Halcones Negros
7 : 0
Calor De San Pedro
19 Sept
Artesanos Metepec
2 : 1
Halcones Negros
13 Sept
Halcones Negros
3 : 0
Guerreros del Pacifico
06 Sept
Dragones de Oaxaca
2 : 1
Halcones Negros
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Tribu de Cd. Juarez 6 4 0 2 15:8 13
2 Zapotlanejo 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Vaqueros 6 4 1 1 11:8 13
4 Mineros de Fresnillo 6 3 2 1 8:2 11
5 Correcaminos 2 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
6 Guerreros de Autlan 6 2 1 3 10:12 8
7 Saltillo Soccer F.C. 6 3 0 3 9:15 8
8 FC Santiago 6 2 1 3 9:7 7
9 Apodaca 6 1 1 4 7:12 4
10 Heroes de Zaci 6 0 1 5 3:12 2
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artesanos Metepec 6 6 0 0 16:4 19
2 Dragones de Oaxaca 6 4 1 1 14:7 15
3 Halcones Negros 6 3 1 2 17:4 11
4 Acambaro 6 3 1 2 16:8 10
5 CD Delfines Coatzacoalcos 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
6 Guerreros del Pacifico 5 2 1 2 4:4 8
7 Calor De San Pedro 5 2 1 2 7:12 8
8 Real Refineros 6 2 1 3 9:10 7
9 Ciervos 6 1 0 5 3:19 2
10 Canoneros FC 6 0 0 6 1:19 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)