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Dragons vs ASPAC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Benin Benin

Ligue 1
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dragons host ASPAC in the Ligue 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. ASPAC have shipped 0.8 goals a game lately, while Dragons have conceded 1.35 and scored 1.03. Past meetings favor Dragons slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 1.69, favoring ASPAC. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Dragons
20%
Draws
65%
ASPAC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ASPAC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Dragons haven't matched ASPAC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans ASPAC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Dragons Clean Sheet 13%
ASPAC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dragons ASPAC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 16
Draws 10 7
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.35 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Ligue 1
Dragons vs ASPAC
3:2
Oct 25, 2025 Ligue 1
ASPAC vs Dragons
4:1
Mar 9, 2025 Ligue 1
ASPAC vs Dragons
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 Ligue 1
Dragons vs ASPAC
2:1
May 18, 2024 Ligue 1
ASPAC vs Dragons
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dragons 22 / 100
ASPAC 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dragons ASPAC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASPAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Dragons scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: ASPAC conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Dragons went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dragons VS ASPAC
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dragons

(Home)
10 Oct
Dragons
0 : 1
Pantheres FC
03 Oct
AS Cotonou
2 : 0
Dragons
26 Sept
Dragons
1 : 1
Coton FC
20 Jun
Dragons
1 : 1
Buffles du Borgou
13 Jun
Cavaliers
2 : 1
Dragons
Page 1 of 7

ASPAC

(Away)
10 Oct
ASVO
2 : 1
ASPAC
04 Oct
ASPAC
2 : 0
Djeffa
26 Sept
Espoir Savalou
0 : 1
ASPAC
16 Sept
ASPAC
2 : 4
Panthers
10 Sept
Panthers
1 : 3
ASPAC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buffles du Borgou 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 Cavaliers 3 2 1 0 8:0 7
3 Bani Ganse 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
4 ASPAC 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
5 Pantheres FC 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
6 ASVO 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
7 AS Cotonou 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
8 Hodio 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
9 Coton FC 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
10 Sobemap 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
11 Ayema 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
12 Djeffa 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
13 Loto 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
14 Krake 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
15 Damissa 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
16 Dragons 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
17 Espoir Savalou 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
18 Dynamo Abomey 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)