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Dragons vs Police

Benin Benin

Ligue 1 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dragons in this Ligue 1 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dragons.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Dragons
20%
Draws
57%
Police
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Police

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dragons lately — more wins on the board than Police.
  • Model gives Police a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dragons have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Dragons Clean Sheet 20%
Police Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dragons Police
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 14 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.24 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.22 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Ligue 1
Dragons vs Police
2:1
Dec 8, 2024 Ligue 1
Police vs Dragons
1:3
Apr 30, 2022 Ligue 1
Police vs Dragons
1:2
Mar 12, 2022 Ligue 1
Dragons vs Police
1:0
Dec 23, 2018 Ligue 1
Dragons vs Police
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dragons 16 / 100
Police 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dragons Police

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Police Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dragons's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 41 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Police's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Dragons stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dragons VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dragons

(Home)
20 Jun
Dragons
1 : 1
Buffles du Borgou
13 Jun
Cavaliers
2 : 1
Dragons
07 Jun
Dragons
1 : 0
Ayema
30 May
Coton FC
3 : 1
Dragons
22 May
Dragons
0 : 2
Loto
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Police

(Away)
07 Jun
Coton FC
2 : 1
Police
31 May
Police
4 : 1
Requins de l'Atlantique FC
24 May
ASPAC
0 : 0
Police
18 May
Police
2 : 0
ASVO
10 May
Adjidja
0 : 1
Police
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dadje 34 17 12 5 44:26 63
2 Cavaliers 34 16 11 7 41:26 59
3 Espoir Savalou 34 17 8 9 36:23 59
4 Loto 34 15 12 7 36:24 57
5 Dynamo Abomey 34 15 11 8 34:21 56
6 Damissa 34 15 10 9 38:24 55
7 Hodio 34 14 13 7 28:21 55
8 Bani Ganse 34 13 12 9 33:26 51
9 Buffles du Borgou 34 12 15 7 21:14 51
10 Pantheres FC 34 14 9 11 37:34 51
11 Bembereke 34 10 8 16 28:35 38
12 Takunnin 34 9 8 17 30:37 35
13 Abeilles 34 8 10 16 26:33 34
14 Boa 34 7 13 14 29:41 34
15 Dynamique Djougou 34 6 13 15 21:41 31
16 Dynamo Parakou 34 7 10 17 19:39 31
17 Real Sport 34 6 12 16 27:48 30
18 Tonnerre 34 6 11 17 24:39 29
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coton FC 32 16 12 4 34:16 60
2 Dragons 32 14 13 5 43:28 55
3 Ayema 32 16 7 9 37:21 55
4 Sobemap 32 13 15 4 40:23 54
5 Krake 32 13 12 7 35:26 51
6 ASVO 32 12 14 6 36:20 50
7 JS Pob 32 12 13 7 29:23 49
8 AS Cotonou 32 12 10 10 30:23 46
9 ASPAC 32 10 15 7 34:28 45
10 Police 32 10 11 11 29:31 41
11 Adjidja 32 9 13 10 21:23 40
12 Avrankou Omnisport 32 10 6 16 29:41 36
13 Sitatunga 32 7 14 11 25:35 35
14 Requins de l'Atlantique FC 32 8 10 14 31:41 34
15 JAK 32 7 8 17 26:43 29
16 Aziza 32 4 10 18 21:46 22
17 Etoiles Filantes 32 4 7 21 17:49 19
18 Ouidah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)