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Dragovoljac vs Belisce

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2023/2024 Stadion NŠC Stjepan Spajić, Zagreb
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Anocic S.
45' Event
Opacic S.
47' Event
Salapic S.

AI Match Summary

The Druga NL 2023/2024 game between Dragovoljac and Belisce finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dragovoljac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Dragovoljac
20%
Draws
0%
Belisce
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dragovoljac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dragovoljac come out ahead of Belisce on wins alone.
  • Model gives Dragovoljac a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dragovoljac have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Dragovoljac Clean Sheet 20%
Belisce Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dragovoljac Belisce
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 10 3
Draws 11 6
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.11 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.46 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2024 Druga NL
Dragovoljac vs Belisce
3:2
Sep 2, 2023 Druga NL
Belisce vs Dragovoljac
1:2
Apr 20, 2008 Prva NL
Dragovoljac vs Belisce
2:0
Oct 20, 2007 Prva NL
Belisce vs Dragovoljac
1:2
Apr 22, 2007 Prva NL
Belisce vs Dragovoljac
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dragovoljac Compare

Top Goalscorer Opacic S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marincic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Belisce Compare

Top Goalscorer Anocic S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salapic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dragovoljac 85 / 100
Belisce 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dragovoljac Belisce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dragovoljac Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Belisce conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Belisce's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Dragovoljac scored in 60% of their last 35 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dragovoljac VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dragovoljac

(Home)
01 Aug
Dragovoljac
0 : 4
NK Krka
22 Jul
Dragovoljac
0 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
30 May
Dragovoljac
2 : 0
Bjelovar
23 May
Segesta
3 : 1
Dragovoljac
15 May
Dragovoljac
0 : 0
Radnik Krizevci
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Belisce

(Away)
09 Sept
Karlovac
5 : 0
Belisce
11 Sept
Bednja Beletinec
3 : 0
Belisce
01 Jun
Dugo Selo
5 : 2
Belisce
25 May
Belisce
1 : 6
Kustosija
18 May
Jadran Porec
3 : 0
Belisce
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Opatija 30 20 4 6 48:21 64
2 Kustosija 30 18 7 5 61:25 61
3 Mladost Zdralovi 30 18 6 6 55:23 60
4 Radnik Krizevci 30 18 4 8 51:30 58
5 Karlovac 30 17 5 8 43:33 56
6 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 12 11 7 42:28 47
7 Marsonia 30 12 4 14 52:55 40
8 Bjelovar 30 11 6 13 49:52 39
9 Dugo Selo 30 9 10 11 39:37 37
10 Dragovoljac 30 10 6 14 37:46 36
11 Hrvace 30 11 3 16 46:60 36
12 Grobnican 30 8 11 11 45:42 35
13 Trnje 30 10 3 17 30:49 33
14 Jadran Porec 30 6 10 14 36:58 28
15 Krk 30 5 9 16 26:46 24
16 Belisce 30 2 7 21 21:76 13
Promotion - Prva NL 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Prva NL 2023/2024 (Relegation)