Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dravinja vs Mura

Slovenia Slovenia

Slovenian Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ramsak Z.
12' Event
Vizinger D.
79' Event
Proleta B.

AI Match Summary

Mura in this Slovenian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Dravinja
30%
Draws
23%
Mura
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dravinja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dravinja lately — more wins on the board than Mura.
  • Dravinja are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Dravinja have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mura, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mura have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Dravinja Clean Sheet 15%
Mura Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dravinja Mura
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2025 Slovenian Cup
Dravinja vs Mura
1:2
Apr 30, 2011 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Mura
1:1
Mar 12, 2011 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Mura
0:1
Sep 26, 2010 2. SNL
Mura vs Dravinja
4:1
Apr 18, 2010 2. SNL
Mura vs Dravinja
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dravinja Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramsak Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Mura Compare

Top Goalscorer Vizinger D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Proleta B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dravinja 41 / 100
Mura 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dravinja Mura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mura let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Dravinja's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Mura's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Dravinja VS Mura
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dravinja

(Home)
20 Sept
Dravinja
3 : 1
Bistrica
11 Sept
Tabor Sezana
5 : 1
Dravinja
05 Sept
NK Brezice
1 : 1
Dravinja
29 Aug
Dravinja
1 : 4
Triglav
22 Aug
Vrhnika
2 : 0
Dravinja
Page 1 of 6

Mura

(Away)
20 Sept
Mura
0 : 0
Celje
13 Sept
Mura
1 : 6
Aluminij
06 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
Mura
29 Aug
Bravo
2 : 0
Mura
22 Aug
Mura
0 : 1
Koper
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tromejnik Montpreis 0
Jadran Dekani 3
Malecnik 2
Kamnik 1
Beltinci 1
Radomlje 3
Tabor Sezana 1
Primorje 4
Grosuplje 2
Maribor 1
Stojnci 0
Bistrica 18
Sencur 1
O. Ljubljana 2
Makole Bar Miha 0
Celje 4
Fama Vipava 1
Bravo 2
Ljutomer 0
Rudar 3
Dravinja 1
Mura 2
Skofja Loka 1
Nafta 6
Odranci 2
Fuzinar 4
Race 2
NK Krka 1
Ziri 1
Aluminij 6
NK Polana 1
Zavrc 0
1/8-finals
Jadran Dekani 2
Malecnik 0
Radomlje 3
Primorje 2
Grosuplje 2
Bistrica 1
O. Ljubljana 1
Celje 0
Bravo 2
Rudar 0
Mura 1
Nafta 2
Fuzinar 5
Race 0
Aluminij 7
NK Polana 1
Quarter-finals
Jadran Dekani 2
Radomlje 4
Grosuplje 1
O. Ljubljana 0
Bravo 2
Nafta 0
Fuzinar 0
Aluminij 4
Semi-finals
Radomlje 0
Grosuplje 1
Bravo 0
Aluminij 1
Final
Grosuplje 0
Aluminij 1