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Dravinja vs Mura

Slovenia Slovenia

Slovenian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Ramsak Z.
12' Event
Vizinger D.
79' Event
Proleta B.

AI Match Summary

Mura in this Slovenian Cup tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Dravinja
6%
Draws
4%
Mura
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dravinja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dravinja lately — more wins on the board than Mura.
  • Dravinja are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Dravinja have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mura, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mura have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Dravinja Clean Sheet 20%
Mura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dravinja Mura
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.33 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.67 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2025 Slovenian Cup
Dravinja vs Mura
1:2
Apr 30, 2011 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Mura
1:1
Mar 12, 2011 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Mura
0:1
Sep 26, 2010 2. SNL
Mura vs Dravinja
4:1
Apr 18, 2010 2. SNL
Mura vs Dravinja
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dravinja Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramsak Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.67

Mura Compare

Top Goalscorer Vizinger D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Proleta B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dravinja 85 / 100
Mura 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dravinja Mura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mura let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Dravinja stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Dravinja scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Dravinja VS Mura
1.33 Goals Scored 0.88
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dravinja

(Home)
23 May
Jesenice
0 : 1
Dravinja
16 May
Dravinja
2 : 1
Krsko Posavje
11 May
ND Gorica
1 : 1
Dravinja
06 May
Dravinja
2 : 1
Ilirija
30 Apr
Dravinja
1 : 0
NK Krka
Page 1 of 7

Mura

(Away)
17 Jul
Celje
2 : 2
Mura
05 Jul
Beltinci
4 : 1
Mura
04 Jul
Mura
1 : 1
Noah
26 Jun
Sturm Graz
5 : 0
Mura
20 Jun
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 1
Mura
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tromejnik Montpreis0
Jadran Dekani3
Malecnik2
Kamnik1
Beltinci1
Radomlje3
Tabor Sezana1
Primorje4
Grosuplje2
Maribor1
Stojnci0
Bistrica18
Sencur1
O. Ljubljana2
Makole Bar Miha0
Celje4
Fama Vipava1
Bravo2
Ljutomer0
Rudar3
Dravinja1
Mura2
Skofja Loka1
Nafta6
Odranci2
Fuzinar4
Race2
NK Krka1
Ziri1
Aluminij6
NK Polana1
Zavrc0
1/8-finals
Jadran Dekani2
Malecnik0
Radomlje3
Primorje2
Grosuplje2
Bistrica1
O. Ljubljana1
Celje0
Bravo2
Rudar0
Mura1
Nafta2
Fuzinar5
Race0
Aluminij7
NK Polana1
Quarter-finals
Jadran Dekani2
Radomlje4
Grosuplje1
O. Ljubljana0
Bravo2
Nafta0
Fuzinar0
Aluminij4
Semi-finals
Radomlje0
Grosuplje1
Bravo0
Aluminij1
Final
Grosuplje0
Aluminij1