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Drenica vs Feronikeli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kosovo Kosovo

Superliga
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Drenica host Feronikeli in the Superliga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Feronikeli have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Drenica have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Drenica have won 4 to Feronikeli's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 22, 2022, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 0.94, favoring Feronikeli. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Drenica
15%
Draws
39%
Feronikeli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Drenica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Feronikeli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Drenica's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Superliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Drenica have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Drenica Clean Sheet 20%
Feronikeli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Drenica Feronikeli
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2022 Superliga
Feronikeli vs Drenica
2:3
Apr 3, 2022 Superliga
Drenica vs Feronikeli
6:0
Dec 11, 2021 Superliga
Feronikeli vs Drenica
0:2
Oct 15, 2021 Superliga
Drenica vs Feronikeli
4:0
Apr 24, 2021 Superliga
Drenica vs Feronikeli
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Drenica 67 / 100
Feronikeli 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Drenica Feronikeli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Drenica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Drenica scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Drenica stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Feronikeli has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Drenica VS Feronikeli
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Drenica

(Home)
02 Oct
Partizani
2 : 1
Drenica
20 Sept
Drenica
4 : 0
Llapi
13 Sept
Vushtrria
0 : 3
Drenica
08 Sept
Drenica
1 : 4
Prishtina
05 Sept
Drita
0 : 0
Drenica
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Feronikeli

(Away)
19 Sept
Feronikeli
3 : 1
Vushtrria
13 Sept
Prishtina
3 : 0
Feronikeli
09 Sept
Feronikeli
1 : 0
Drita
06 Sept
FC Ballkani
2 : 0
Feronikeli
29 Aug
Feronikeli
0 : 3
Malisheva
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prishtina 6 6 0 0 18:4 18
2 Malisheva 7 5 1 1 19:6 16
3 Dukagjini 7 3 3 1 8:5 12
4 Drita 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
5 Gjilani 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
6 FC Ballkani 7 3 1 3 9:8 10
7 Drenica 7 2 3 2 9:7 9
8 Feronikeli 7 2 0 5 5:13 6
9 Llapi 7 1 0 6 8:21 3
10 Vushtrria 7 0 0 7 3:20 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Superliga (Relegation)