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Drenica vs Mitrovica Prediction & H2H Stats

Kosovo Kosovo

Liga e Pare 2024/2025
Drenica Logo

Drenica

1 - 1
FT
Mitrovica Logo

Mitrovica

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga e Pare 2024/2025 game between Drenica and Mitrovica finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Drenica
35%
Draws
19%
Mitrovica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Drenica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Drenica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Drenica's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Drenica Clean Sheet 20%
Mitrovica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Drenica Mitrovica
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 16 3
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.36 1
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Liga e Pare
Drenica vs Mitrovica
4:0
Mar 2, 2025 Liga e Pare
Drenica vs Mitrovica
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Liga e Pare
Mitrovica vs Drenica
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Drenica 76 / 100
Mitrovica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Drenica Mitrovica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Drenica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mitrovica has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Drenica scored in 69% of their last 36 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Drenica went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Drenica VS Mitrovica
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Drenica

(Home)
20 Sept
Drenica
4 : 0
Llapi
13 Sept
Vushtrria
0 : 3
Drenica
08 Sept
Drenica
1 : 4
Prishtina
05 Sept
Drita
0 : 0
Drenica
28 Aug
Drenica
0 : 2
FC Ballkani
Page 1 of 8

Mitrovica

(Away)
26 Sept
Prishtina e Re
4 : 1
Mitrovica
19 Sept
Mitrovica
0 : 1
Besa Peja
11 Sept
Suhareka
1 : 1
Mitrovica
06 Sept
Mitrovica
2 : 2
Tefik Canga
30 Aug
KF Lepenci
0 : 0
Mitrovica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Drenica 27 17 7 3 48:25 58
2 Liria 27 15 6 6 33:21 51
3 Trepca 89 27 14 5 8 46:31 47
4 Vellaznimi 27 11 10 6 35:25 43
5 Trepca Mitrovice 27 11 9 7 35:26 42
6 Besa Peja 27 8 8 11 26:32 32
7 Istogu 27 7 10 10 44:49 31
8 Rilindja 27 8 4 15 32:47 28
9 Rahoveci 27 4 8 15 27:45 20
10 Mitrovica 27 4 5 18 25:50 17
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prishtina e Re 27 22 3 2 62:15 69
2 Vushtrria 27 21 4 2 55:15 67
3 Ramiz Sadiku 27 15 3 9 47:31 48
4 Dinamo Ferizaj 27 10 7 10 40:38 37
5 Kek-U 27 9 10 8 29:29 37
6 2 Korriku 27 8 6 13 26:39 30
7 Kika 27 8 5 14 24:39 29
8 Vjosa 27 9 1 17 34:50 28
9 Fushe Kosova 27 6 4 17 22:48 22
10 Flamurtari 27 2 7 18 17:52 13
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2024/2025 (Relegation)