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Stadium Background

Dresden U19 vs Erfurt U19

Germany Germany

DFB Youth League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The DFB Youth League 2025/2026 game between Dresden U19 and Erfurt U19 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dresden U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Dresden U19
15%
Draws
12%
Erfurt U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dresden U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dresden U19 come out ahead of Erfurt U19 on wins alone.
  • Dresden U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular DFB Youth League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Dresden U19 Clean Sheet 13%
Erfurt U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dresden U19 Erfurt U19
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 12 5
Draws 3 5
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 1.94 1.12
Goals Conceded 2.19 2.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 DFB Youth League
Dresden U19 vs Erfurt U19
6:2
Apr 25, 2026 DFB Youth League
Dresden U19 vs Erfurt U19
3:1
Feb 21, 2026 DFB Youth League
Erfurt U19 vs Dresden U19
2:1
May 10, 2025 DFB Youth League
Dresden U19 vs Erfurt U19
6:1
Mar 8, 2025 DFB Youth League
Erfurt U19 vs Dresden U19
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dresden U19 84 / 100
Erfurt U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dresden U19 Erfurt U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dresden U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dresden U19 scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Erfurt U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Away concern: Erfurt U19 has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dresden U19 VS Erfurt U19
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dresden U19

(Home)
18 Sept
Dresden U19
1 : 3
RB Leipzig U19
05 Sept
Dresden U19
6 : 2
Erfurt U19
23 Aug
Nurnberg U19
1 : 3
Dresden U19
19 Aug
Dresden U19
1 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
15 Aug
RB Leipzig U19
4 : 2
Dresden U19
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Erfurt U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Aue U19
2 : 1
Erfurt U19
12 Sept
Erfurt U19
2 : 2
Furth U19
05 Sept
Dresden U19
6 : 2
Erfurt U19
19 Aug
Erfurt U19
0 : 5
Nurnberg U19
14 Aug
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
2 : 0
Erfurt U19
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