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Dresden vs Darmstadt - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden
Dresden Logo

Dresden

1 - 0
FT
Darmstadt Logo

Darmstadt

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Sterner J.
Assist: Vermeij V.
26'
Keller T.
46'
Sub
Furukawa Y. In: Kehl L.
Out: Furukawa Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 2. Bundesliga game between Dresden and Darmstadt finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dresden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Dresden
20%
Draws
38%
Darmstadt
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dresden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Dresden carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Dresden's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Dresden Clean Sheet 12%
Darmstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dresden Darmstadt
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 2 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 2.2 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Darmstadt
1:0
Feb 27, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Darmstadt
3:1
Sep 26, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Darmstadt vs Dresden
2:0
Oct 30, 2024 DFB Pokal
Dresden vs Darmstadt
2:3
Feb 26, 2022 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Darmstadt
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dresden Compare

Top Goalscorer Sterner J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Darmstadt Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dresden 47 / 100
Darmstadt 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dresden Darmstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dresden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dresden scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Darmstadt let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Dresden remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dresden VS Darmstadt
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dresden

(Home)
06 Nov
Dresden
3 : 0
Greuther Furth
01 Nov
Hannover
2 : 1
Dresden
28 Oct
Dresden
2 : 0
Schalke
25 Oct
Holstein Kiel
3 : 0
Dresden
18 Oct
Dresden
2 : 0
Magdeburg
Page 1 of 6

Darmstadt

(Away)
31 Oct
Darmstadt
1 : 1
Magdeburg
27 Oct
Elversberg
0 : 2
Darmstadt
23 Oct
Darmstadt
0 : 0
St. Pauli
18 Oct
Karlsruher
4 : 0
Darmstadt
10 Oct
Darmstadt
3 : 1
Energie Cottbus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Berlin 10 9 1 0 23:8 28
2 Nurnberg 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
3 Wolfsburg 10 5 4 1 25:14 19
4 Kaiserslautern 10 5 3 2 9:7 18
5 Magdeburg 10 5 2 3 21:13 17
6 Heidenheim 10 4 3 3 17:18 15
7 Arminia Bielefeld 10 4 2 4 16:15 14
8 St. Pauli 10 2 6 2 12:12 12
9 Greuther Furth 10 3 3 4 13:16 12
10 VfL Osnabruck 10 3 2 5 14:17 11
11 Bochum 10 3 2 5 8:11 11
12 Hannover 10 3 2 5 10:16 11
13 Karlsruher 10 3 2 5 13:21 11
14 Energie Cottbus 10 2 4 4 18:20 10
15 Braunschweig 10 3 1 6 16:18 10
16 Darmstadt 10 2 3 5 9:19 9
17 Holstein Kiel 10 1 5 4 10:12 8
18 Dresden 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)