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Dresden vs Energie Cottbus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Boziaris J.
53' Event
Remus N.
66' Event
Oehmichen J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Dresden and Energie Cottbus finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dresden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Dresden
35%
Draws
49%
Energie Cottbus
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Energie Cottbus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Energie Cottbus haven't matched Dresden's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Energie Cottbus a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Dresden Clean Sheet 10%
Energie Cottbus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dresden Energie Cottbus
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.33 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Dresden vs Energie Cottbus
2:1
Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Dresden vs Energie Cottbus
1:2
Nov 13, 2025 Club Friendly
Dresden vs Energie Cottbus
3:0
Jan 25, 2025 3. Liga
Energie Cottbus vs Dresden
1:1
Aug 9, 2024 3. Liga
Dresden vs Energie Cottbus
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dresden Compare

Top Goalscorer Remus N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oehmichen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Energie Cottbus Compare

Top Goalscorer Boziaris J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dresden 18 / 100
Energie Cottbus 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dresden Energie Cottbus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Energie Cottbus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dresden's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Energie Cottbus conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Dresden went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dresden VS Energie Cottbus
1.75 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dresden

(Home)
10 Oct
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 1
Dresden
02 Oct
Teplice
2 : 0
Dresden
19 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Hertha Berlin
12 Sept
Braunschweig
2 : 2
Dresden
05 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Bochum
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Energie Cottbus

(Away)
10 Oct
Darmstadt
3 : 1
Energie Cottbus
03 Oct
Lech Poznan
2 : 2
Energie Cottbus
20 Sept
Energie Cottbus
1 : 1
St. Pauli
13 Sept
Karlsruher
0 : 3
Energie Cottbus
05 Sept
Wolfsburg
4 : 4
Energie Cottbus
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