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Dresden vs Greuther Furth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Blank H.
31' Event
Wagner R.
Assist: Hauptmann N.
41' Event
Bobzien B.
Assist: Raschl T.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Bundesliga game between Dresden and Greuther Furth finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dresden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Dresden
15%
Draws
39%
Greuther Furth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dresden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Greuther Furth haven't matched Dresden's recent run of results.
  • Dresden are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Dresden Clean Sheet 18%
Greuther Furth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dresden Greuther Furth
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 15 12
Draws 2 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.17 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Greuther Furth
3:0
Jan 17, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Greuther Furth
2:0
Aug 3, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Greuther Furth vs Dresden
3:2
Jun 9, 2020 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Greuther Furth
1:1
Oct 18, 2019 2. Bundesliga
Greuther Furth vs Dresden
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dresden Compare

Top Goalscorer Wagner R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bobzien B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Greuther Furth Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dresden 76 / 100
Greuther Furth 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dresden Greuther Furth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dresden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dresden scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Greuther Furth let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Dresden stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dresden VS Greuther Furth
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dresden

(Home)
01 Nov
Hannover
2 : 1
Dresden
28 Oct
Dresden
2 : 0
Schalke
25 Oct
Holstein Kiel
3 : 0
Dresden
18 Oct
Dresden
2 : 0
Magdeburg
10 Oct
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 1
Dresden
Page 1 of 6

Greuther Furth

(Away)
01 Nov
Greuther Furth
1 : 0
Holstein Kiel
25 Oct
VfL Osnabruck
3 : 0
Greuther Furth
17 Oct
Greuther Furth
2 : 0
Braunschweig
11 Oct
Hertha Berlin
2 : 1
Greuther Furth
01 Oct
VfB Stuttgart
5 : 0
Greuther Furth
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Berlin 10 9 1 0 23:8 28
2 Nurnberg 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
3 Wolfsburg 10 5 4 1 25:14 19
4 Kaiserslautern 10 5 3 2 9:7 18
5 Magdeburg 10 5 2 3 21:13 17
6 Heidenheim 10 4 3 3 17:18 15
7 Arminia Bielefeld 10 4 2 4 16:15 14
8 St. Pauli 10 2 6 2 12:12 12
9 Greuther Furth 10 3 3 4 13:16 12
10 VfL Osnabruck 10 3 2 5 14:17 11
11 Bochum 10 3 2 5 8:11 11
12 Hannover 10 3 2 5 10:16 11
13 Karlsruher 10 3 2 5 13:21 11
14 Energie Cottbus 10 2 4 4 18:20 10
15 Braunschweig 10 3 1 6 16:18 10
16 Darmstadt 10 2 3 5 9:19 9
17 Holstein Kiel 10 1 5 4 10:12 8
18 Dresden 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)