Sport Picks
Dresden vs Hertha Berlin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
2. Bundesliga Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden 
Match Events
10'
10'
Covic P.
Assist: Vermeij V.
29'
29'
Thorsteinsson J.
Assist: Brekalo J.
32'
32'
Wagner R.
AI Match Summary
The 2. Bundesliga game between Dresden and Hertha Berlin finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hertha Berlin.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
15%
50%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hertha Berlin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Hertha Berlin carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Hertha Berlin here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dresden Clean Sheet 13%
Hertha Berlin Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dresden | Hertha Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 19 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 2.17 | 2.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Hertha Berlin
1:2
Apr 4, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Hertha Berlin
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Hertha Berlin vs Dresden
2:0
Oct 30, 2019 DFB Pokal
Hertha Berlin vs Dresden
4:3
Mar 2, 2013 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Hertha Berlin
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dresden Compare
Top Goalscorer Covic P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Hertha Berlin Compare
Top Goalscorer Thorsteinsson J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dresden 31 / 100
Hertha Berlin 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dresden Hertha Berlin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hertha Berlin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dresden found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Hertha Berlin let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Dresden has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Dresden VS Hertha Berlin
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Dresden
(Home) 06 Nov
Dresden
3 : 0 Greuther Furth
01 Nov
Hannover
2 : 1 Dresden
28 Oct
Dresden
2 : 0 Schalke
25 Oct
Holstein Kiel
3 : 0 Dresden
18 Oct
Dresden
2 : 0 Magdeburg
Page 1 of 6
06 Nov
Dresden
3 : 0 Greuther Furth
28 Oct
Dresden
2 : 0 Schalke
18 Oct
Dresden
2 : 0 Magdeburg
19 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2 Hertha Berlin
05 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2 Bochum
Page 1 of 3
Hertha Berlin
(Away) 31 Oct
Kaiserslautern
0 : 3 Hertha Berlin
28 Oct
Jeddeloh
0 : 2 Hertha Berlin
24 Oct
Hertha Berlin
1 : 0 Arminia Bielefeld
16 Oct
Holstein Kiel
0 : 0 Hertha Berlin
11 Oct
Hertha Berlin
2 : 1 Greuther Furth
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Kaiserslautern
0 : 3 Hertha Berlin
28 Oct
Jeddeloh
0 : 2 Hertha Berlin
16 Oct
Holstein Kiel
0 : 0 Hertha Berlin
02 Oct
Augsburg
2 : 2 Hertha Berlin
29 Sept
Hertha Zehlendorf
1 : 3 Hertha Berlin
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha Berlin | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 | Nurnberg | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 | Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 | Magdeburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 | Heidenheim | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 | Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 | St. Pauli | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 | Greuther Furth | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 10 | Energie Cottbus | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18:20 | 11 |
| 11 | Braunschweig | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16:18 | 11 |
| 12 | VfL Osnabruck | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 13 | Bochum | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 14 | Dresden | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 15:20 | 11 |
| 15 | Hannover | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 16 | Karlsruher | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 17 | Darmstadt | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:12 | 8 |
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
