Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dresden vs Hertha Berlin

Germany Germany

2. Bundesliga Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden
Sat, Sep 19, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dresden host Hertha Berlin in the 2. Bundesliga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Hertha Berlin have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while Dresden have conceded 1.24 and scored 2.45. Past meetings favor Hertha Berlin slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.94 - 2.00) back Hertha Berlin to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Dresden
15%
Draws
58%
Hertha Berlin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hertha Berlin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Hertha Berlin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hertha Berlin's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hertha Berlin here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Dresden Clean Sheet 10%
Hertha Berlin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dresden Hertha Berlin
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.45 2.57
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Hertha Berlin
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 2. Bundesliga
Hertha Berlin vs Dresden
2:0
Oct 30, 2019 DFB Pokal
Hertha Berlin vs Dresden
4:3
Mar 2, 2013 2. Bundesliga
Dresden vs Hertha Berlin
1:0
Sep 26, 2012 2. Bundesliga
Hertha Berlin vs Dresden
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dresden 26 / 100
Hertha Berlin 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dresden Hertha Berlin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hertha Berlin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dresden found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Hertha Berlin let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Dresden has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dresden VS Hertha Berlin
2.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dresden

(Home)
12 Sept
Braunschweig
2 : 2
Dresden
05 Sept
Dresden
1 : 2
Bochum
29 Aug
Heidenheim
5 : 3
Dresden
23 Aug
Westfalia Rhynern
0 : 6
Dresden
16 Aug
Dresden
1 : 0
Darmstadt
Page 1 of 6

Hertha Berlin

(Away)
13 Sept
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 3
Hertha Berlin
06 Sept
Hertha Berlin
2 : 1
Magdeburg
28 Aug
Braunschweig
3 : 5
Hertha Berlin
22 Aug
Saarbrucken
1 : 2
Hertha Berlin
15 Aug
Hertha Berlin
4 : 1
Heidenheim
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hertha Berlin 5 5 0 0 15:6 15
2 Nurnberg 5 4 1 0 15:6 13
3 Heidenheim 5 4 0 1 12:10 12
4 Magdeburg 5 3 0 2 10:8 9
5 Wolfsburg 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
6 Kaiserslautern 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
7 Energie Cottbus 5 2 1 2 13:12 7
8 Bochum 5 2 1 2 4:4 7
9 St. Pauli 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
10 VfL Osnabruck 5 2 0 3 8:11 6
11 Greuther Furth 5 1 2 2 8:10 5
12 Karlsruher 5 1 2 2 6:11 5
13 Braunschweig 5 1 1 3 12:12 4
14 Arminia Bielefeld 5 1 1 3 8:10 4
15 Hannover 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
16 Darmstadt 5 1 1 3 4:8 4
17 Dresden 5 1 1 3 7:12 4
18 Holstein Kiel 5 0 3 2 6:9 3
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)