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Kassel

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dresden play Kassel in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Dresden averaged 2.21 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. Kassel averaged 2.18 goals scored and 1.36 conceded. In past meetings, Dresden won 1, Kassel won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 11, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for Dresden and 1.38 for Kassel. This points to a Dresden double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Dresden

16%

Draws

40%

Kassel

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Dresden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Dresden picked up more points recently compared to Kassel.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 71%

Over 3.5 Goals 43%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

Dresden Clean Sheet 17%

Kassel Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 79%

Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Dresden	Kassel
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	15	14
Draws	4	5
Losses	10	9
Goals Scored	2.21	2.18
Goals Conceded	1.24	1.36
Expected Goals (xG)	3.25	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly

Dresden vs Kassel

Possession: 50% - 40% Cards: 0 - 2

3:0

Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly

Kassel vs Dresden

Possession: 40% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dresden 43 / 100

Kassel 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Dresden Kassel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Dresden or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.3%

1.54

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Dresden attacking → ← attacking Kassel

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dresden scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Kassel let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Dresden went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kassel lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 47

3.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.00

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63