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Drobak-Frogn vs Elverum Prediction & H2H Stats

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Drobak-Frogn host Elverum in the Division 3 - Group 6. Drobak-Frogn go into this one as the clear favorite. Drobak-Frogn have averaged 2 scored and 1.82 conceded recently, against Elverum's 2.52 scored and 1.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Drobak-Frogn have won 1 to Elverum's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Drobak-Frogn. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Drobak-Frogn
20%
Draws
23%
Elverum
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Drobak-Frogn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Elverum have won more games recently than Drobak-Frogn.
  • Model gives Drobak-Frogn a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 6 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Drobak-Frogn Clean Sheet 20%
Elverum Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Drobak-Frogn Elverum
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2 2.52
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Elverum vs Drobak-Frogn
1:0
Oct 16, 2004 Division 2 - Group 2
Elverum vs Drobak-Frogn
0:8
Jul 17, 2004 Division 2 - Group 2
Drobak-Frogn vs Elverum
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Drobak-Frogn 85 / 100
Elverum 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Drobak-Frogn Elverum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Drobak-Frogn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Drobak-Frogn's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Elverum conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Drobak-Frogn stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Drobak-Frogn VS Elverum
2.75 Goals Scored 2.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Drobak-Frogn

(Home)
26 Sept
Bjorkelangen
0 : 6
Drobak-Frogn
19 Sept
Drobak-Frogn
3 : 2
Gjovik-Lyn
12 Sept
Raelingen
2 : 2
Drobak-Frogn
07 Sept
Drobak-Frogn
4 : 1
Lyn 2
30 Aug
Drobak-Frogn
3 : 4
Fram
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Elverum

(Away)
26 Sept
Sandefjord 2
4 : 3
Elverum
19 Sept
Elverum
4 : 1
Raelingen
16 Sept
Elverum
0 : 3
Raufoss
12 Sept
Rade
4 : 2
Elverum
05 Sept
Brumunddal
1 : 1
Elverum
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