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Drobak-Frogn vs Sarpsborg 08 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Drobak-Frogn host Sarpsborg 08 2 in the Division 3 - Group 6. This has Drobak-Frogn written all over it on paper. Drobak-Frogn have averaged 1.97 scored and 1.79 conceded recently, against Sarpsborg 08 2's 2.03 scored and 2.34 conceded. Head-to-head, Drobak-Frogn have won 1 to Sarpsborg 08 2's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 4, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Drobak-Frogn to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Drobak-Frogn
20%
Draws
45%
Sarpsborg 08 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sarpsborg 08 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Sarpsborg 08 2 haven't matched Drobak-Frogn's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Drobak-Frogn a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 6 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Drobak-Frogn Clean Sheet 20%
Sarpsborg 08 2 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Drobak-Frogn Sarpsborg 08 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.97 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Drobak-Frogn
1:0
Oct 20, 2025 Division 3 - Group 6
Drobak-Frogn vs Sarpsborg 08 2
3:3
Apr 7, 2025 Division 3 - Group 6
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Drobak-Frogn
5:1
Oct 14, 2017 Division 3 - Group 1
Drobak-Frogn vs Sarpsborg 08 2
3:1
Jul 3, 2017 Division 3 - Group 1
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Drobak-Frogn
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Drobak-Frogn 58 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 2 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Drobak-Frogn Sarpsborg 08 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Drobak-Frogn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sarpsborg 08 2 conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Drobak-Frogn's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Drobak-Frogn remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Drobak-Frogn VS Sarpsborg 08 2
2.63 Goals Scored 3.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Drobak-Frogn

(Home)
26 Sept
Bjorkelangen
0 : 6
Drobak-Frogn
19 Sept
Drobak-Frogn
3 : 2
Gjovik-Lyn
12 Sept
Raelingen
2 : 2
Drobak-Frogn
07 Sept
Drobak-Frogn
4 : 1
Lyn 2
30 Aug
Drobak-Frogn
3 : 4
Fram
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Sarpsborg 08 2

(Away)
26 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 2
Gjovik-Lyn
21 Sept
Lyn 2
2 : 2
Sarpsborg 08 2
12 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 1
Lillehammer
07 Sept
Orn
3 : 4
Sarpsborg 08 2
31 Aug
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 2
Rade
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