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Drogheda vs Cobh Wanderers Prediction & H2H Stats

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2017 Sullivan & Lambe Park, Drogheda
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Elworthy S.
44' Event
Elworthy S.
55' Event
Mulhall C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-1, with Drogheda advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Drogheda
15%
Draws
21%
Cobh Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Drogheda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Cobh Wanderers haven't matched Drogheda's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Drogheda taking it.
  • Drogheda have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Drogheda, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Drogheda Clean Sheet 19%
Cobh Wanderers Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Drogheda Cobh Wanderers
Matches Played 29 12
Wins 10 5
Draws 7 1
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.48 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2017 FAI Cup
Drogheda vs Cobh Wanderers
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Drogheda Compare

Top Goalscorer Elworthy S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mulhall C.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Cobh Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Stack D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Drogheda 85 / 100
Cobh Wanderers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Drogheda Cobh Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Drogheda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Drogheda's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Cobh Wanderers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 12 matches.

Solid form: Drogheda remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Drogheda VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Drogheda

(Home)
01 Oct
Trabzonspor
0 : 1
Drogheda
18 Sept
Bohemians
2 : 1
Drogheda
14 Sept
Shelbourne
1 : 2
Drogheda
11 Sept
Drogheda
2 : 0
Sligo Rovers
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2
Galway United
Page 1 of 6

Cobh Wanderers

(Away)
01 Feb
Cobh Wanderers
0 : 7
Cobh Ramblers
21 Jul
Sligo Rovers
3 : 0
Cobh Wanderers
18 May
College Corinthians
4 : 5
Cobh Wanderers
06 Feb
Ringmahon Rangers
2 : 0
Cobh Wanderers
09 Aug
Cobh Wanderers
0 : 1
Limerick
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd -
Cobh Wanderers 1
Edenderry Town 0
Boyle Celtic 0
Killarney Celtic 1
Evergreen United 3
St. Marys 2
TBD -
Drogheda -
Bluebell Utd -
TBD -
Greystones United 0
Sheriff YC 3
UC Dublin -
TBD -
TBD -
Cabinteely -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Glenville -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Limerick -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Bohemians -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Portmarnock -
Killester Donnycarney 2
Ballymun Utd 1
TBD -
Galway United -
Longford -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Everton AFC 2
Liffey Wanderers 1
Cherry Orchard 2
Bangor Celtic 3
Athlone -
TBD -
College Corinthians 0
Ballincollig 1
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
1/16-finals
Dundalk 4
Derry City 0
Wexford 1
Crumlin Utd 2
Cobh Wanderers 3
Killarney Celtic 0
Evergreen United 0
Drogheda 4
Bluebell Utd 3
Sheriff YC 0
UC Dublin 1
Cabinteely 3
Shelbourne 3
Waterford 0
Glenville 0
Shamrock Rovers 1
Limerick 3
Cobh Ramblers 0
Bohemians 3
Finn Harps 4
St. Patricks 2
Portmarnock 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
Galway United 4
Longford 4
Sligo Rovers 2
Everton AFC 2
Bangor Celtic 3
Athlone 5
Ballincollig 0
Bray 0
Cork City 1
1/8-finals
Dundalk 3
Crumlin Utd 1
Cobh Wanderers 1
Drogheda 5
Bluebell Utd 1
Cabinteely 0
Shelbourne 0
Shamrock Rovers 3
Limerick 1
Finn Harps 0
St. Patricks 0
Galway United 2
Longford 1
Bangor Celtic 0
Athlone 0
Cork City 7
Quarter-finals
Dundalk 4
Drogheda 0
Bluebell Utd 2
Shamrock Rovers 4
Limerick 2
Galway United 1
Longford 1
Cork City 4
Semi-finals
Dundalk 5
Shamrock Rovers 3
Limerick 0
Cork City 1
Final
Dundalk 1
Cork City 2