Sport Picks
Drogheda vs Derry City Prediction & H2H Stats
Ireland
Premier Division Sullivan & Lambe Park, Drogheda 
AI Match Summary
Drogheda host Derry City in the Premier Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Derry City have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Drogheda have conceded 1.52 and scored 1.41. Head-to-head, Drogheda have won 2 to Derry City's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 26, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.50 - 1.63) back Drogheda to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Derry City's 1.44 goals per match outpaces what Drogheda have produced (1.41).
- Drogheda are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Drogheda | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Drogheda found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).
Derry City let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Drogheda remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Drogheda
(Home)Derry City
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St. Patricks | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 52:25 | 59 |
| 2 | Shamrock Rovers | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 49:31 | 59 |
| 3 | Bohemians | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 55:37 | 56 |
| 4 | Derry City | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 45:42 | 41 |
| 5 | Dundalk | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 49:53 | 41 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 42:45 | 40 |
| 7 | Galway United | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 42:48 | 38 |
| 8 | Waterford | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 44:54 | 34 |
| 9 | Drogheda | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38:51 | 34 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 24:54 | 23 |
