Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Drogheda vs Derry City

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division Sullivan & Lambe Park, Drogheda
Drogheda Logo

Drogheda

1 - 0
FT
Derry City Logo

Derry City

Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Brennan R.
42'
Fleming B.
45'
Markey D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between Drogheda and Derry City finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Drogheda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Drogheda
20%
Draws
57%
Derry City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Derry City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Derry City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Drogheda Clean Sheet 16%
Derry City Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Drogheda Derry City
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 9 11
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Drogheda
2:0
May 8, 2026 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Derry City
1:0
Mar 20, 2026 Premier Division
Derry City vs Drogheda
2:2
Sep 26, 2025 Premier Division
Drogheda vs Derry City
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 FAI Cup
Derry City vs Drogheda
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Drogheda 31 / 100
Derry City 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Drogheda Derry City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Drogheda's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Derry City has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Drogheda has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Drogheda VS Derry City
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Drogheda

(Home)
04 Sept
Drogheda
1 : 2
Galway United
28 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 3
Dundalk
21 Aug
Drogheda
0 : 2
St. Patricks
15 Aug
College Corinthians
0 : 3
Drogheda
07 Aug
Galway United
0 : 0
Drogheda
Page 1 of 6

Derry City

(Away)
06 Sept
Derry City
4 : 2
Dundalk
30 Aug
Derry City
3 : 3
Shamrock Rovers
21 Aug
Bohemians
5 : 3
Derry City
14 Aug
UC Dublin
1 : 2
Derry City
07 Aug
Derry City
2 : 0
Sligo Rovers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shamrock Rovers 29 16 8 5 46:27 56
2 St. Patricks 29 14 8 7 45:25 50
3 Bohemians 29 14 8 7 50:34 50
4 Dundalk 29 10 10 9 46:45 40
5 Shelbourne 28 8 12 8 37:39 36
6 Derry City 29 7 13 9 41:40 34
7 Galway United 28 8 10 10 36:42 34
8 Waterford 29 7 11 11 39:48 32
9 Drogheda 29 6 10 13 33:48 28
10 Sligo Rovers 29 5 8 16 23:48 23
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 2027 (Main)