Sport Picks

Ireland

Premier Division Sullivan & Lambe Park

Drogheda

1 - 0

Derry City

Our Tip

Match Events

36'

Brennan R.

42'

Fleming B.

45'

Markey D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier Division game between Drogheda and Derry City finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Drogheda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Drogheda

20%

Draws

38%

Derry City

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Drogheda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Derry City's 1.63 goals per match outpaces what Drogheda have produced (1).
Model gives Drogheda a 42% chance of winning this.
Regular Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Drogheda Clean Sheet 14%

Derry City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Drogheda	Derry City
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	8	8
Draws	8	11
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	1	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Premier Division

Derry City vs Drogheda

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

May 8, 2026 Premier Division

Drogheda vs Derry City

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Mar 20, 2026 Premier Division

Derry City vs Drogheda

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 1 - 1

2:2

Sep 26, 2025 Premier Division

Drogheda vs Derry City

Possession: 59% - 51% Cards: 4 - 2

1:1

Aug 16, 2025 FAI Cup

Derry City vs Drogheda

Possession: 57% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Drogheda 41 / 100

Derry City 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Drogheda Derry City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Drogheda's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Derry City has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Drogheda has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Drogheda VS Derry City

1 Goals Scored 1.63

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	25	15	5	5	40:22	50
2	Bohemians	25	12	7	6	40:27	43
3	St. Patricks	24	12	6	6	39:20	42
4	Dundalk	24	9	8	7	38:36	35
5	Shelbourne	24	8	10	6	35:35	34
6	Derry City	25	6	11	8	32:31	29
7	Galway United	23	7	6	10	32:39	27
8	Drogheda	24	6	7	11	29:41	25
9	Waterford	24	4	9	11	33:47	21
10	Sligo Rovers	24	5	5	14	20:40	20